All recent financial 'bubbles' including the current
one in real estate have had two (avoidable) causes. One was the result of tax
policies instituted under President Reagan, the other was one of the
unfortunate consequences of Globalization. The politics of greed, the basis of
these actions, has place the entire middle- and working-classes at risk of
becoming the 'second nation' warned of by John Edwards in his bid for the
presidency. Both policies have lead to unchecked asset inflation worldwide. The
ultimate consequence of this worldwide will be societies of rich and poor, with
no middle class, similar to most poor countries today. The poor will be outbid
in trying to obtain access to any of the activities or privileges currently
enjoyed by our elites and a slowly-dwindling middle class. In trying to
participate in any public event the average citizen will simply have not the
funds.
Over the past decade or so the prices of
admission to the most commonplace of events, like sports events, theater
tickets, or just local social activities, have already increased to the point
of unaffordability by the general public. Activities which used to be of the
order of 5 dollars now cost 25 dollars, too much for many middle class families
today.
This is thanks to President
Reagan's tax policies in the 80s allowing the rich to avoid paying even the
government's expenses at that time (even though they were the main
beneficiaries of government spending.) Changes in estate taxes during this same
period have added to this problem. The rich are getting richer and the poor
poorer. These same policies unfortunately were adopted by the Brits under
Margaret Thatcher and later, to a lesser extent, by most other western European
nations. Bush Jr. has further supported and extended these policies, justifying
tax giveaways to the rich on the discredited supply side 'theories' of the
Ronald Reagan administration.
Globalization, a scheme to 'equalize'
worker wage levels worldwide, is in the process of driving western workers'
wages down to those of the poorest of countries. The low bidders of the entire
world will have the
privilege of
performing the world's labor as the world's population increases and the efficiencies
of automation minimize labors' part in production. For western workers to
compete with Chinese and Indian workers today (whose wages are in the 65 cents
to a dollar fifty range) would require hourly wages of 3 or 4 dollar at best
(regardless of productivity differences.) So eventually these western workers
will either have to be supported by the dole, or end up living in the street if
they are unlucky enough to not have a friendly relative with a basement
available. It is only a matter of time before this sad event takes place, 20
years at most. What will happen with the children of the current middle class
will be a real tragedy. In many poor countries 'death squads' have been
frequently employed to solve the problem of those unemployed and aggravating
street people.
The recent stock market à ‚¬Ëœbubbles' and current
real estate one are the direct consequence of these two policies. The rich
worldwide with trillions (9+ trillion dollars in U.S. money markets alone) of
financial capital, looking for even minimal returns, have participated
worldwide in purchasing whatever real estate they could get their hands on, and
along with financial institutions (also foreign as well as local), have
purchased the (securitized) mortgages underlying most of this same real estate.
Thanks to Globalization, American dollars have provided foreigners the funds to
participate in this speculation in U.S. real estate and financial assets. They
have driven up prices on what should be a home for a family, turned it into a speculative
asset in which the actual inhabitant has little equity (only has to pay the
interest on
an exorbitant loan) while
the real owners are the rich throughout the world and the financial
institutions who have underwritten them. Unfortunately this speculation by the
world's rich have put the banks into the unpleasant position of being the real
risk-takers in this enterprise and are inhibiting them from currently making
much-needed new loans. When all said and done, the banker took the risk and is
now left holding the bag. Wall Street and the bond-rating agencies are just as
guilty if not more so, but the rating-agencies have at least not suffered
(except in credibility). The Wall-streeters were unfortunately victims as well,
apparently believing their own sales pitches.
What needs urgently to be done is to
reverse these two policies and remove the excess capital which is the real
culprit in this entire mess. This would require a highly-graduated income tax
and heavy estate taxes and an end to the consequences of unbridled
globalization. Under a democracy, tax policy should be designed to collect the
amount necessary and appropriate for the needs of the entire citizenry. Lightly
taxed capital gains should be limited to only that amount of capital necessary
for real sustainable capital investment. Any remaining capital gains are simply
unnecessary and would result in undesirable speculation and foolish
consumerism. They should be highly taxed.
Estate taxes should be limited to a reasonable amount for remaining
heirs, not supportive of the unborn in perpetuity. The current population
should not remain in debt to the no longer living. These measures, which may
seem unfair or impracticable to many, are simply a variant of those tax
policies adopted during the Second World War and continued until the Reagan
economic fiasco. Even while under these highly-graduated estate and income
taxes, the U.S. became the richest country in the world.
In order to save western workers from the
same exploitative wages and substandard lifestyles currently prevalent in S.E.
Asian economies, one of two things need be done. The U.S. Government should
either require their foreign trading partners to require employers to provide a
worldwide living wage and worker- security laws (something the ILO, the
labor-regulating agency of the U.N., should have done long ago), or the U.S.
government should unilaterally impose import duties to effect the same. The
U.S. government's primary duty under the Constitution is to protect the interests
of all its own citizens, not the interest of foreign citizens under WTO rules. To
argue over 70 percent duties on imports when there are differences of 900
percent in labor rates is truly amusing if t were not so pathetic. The WTO's
à ‚¬Ëœfree trade rules', under these conditions, are truly a joke. No decent
employer anywhere in the world should be allowed to pay an exploitative wage to
its employees. If a worker does his best, working in good faith, he should be
entitled to a living wage sufficient to raise and educate a family. Good
governments worldwide should accept this responsibility as their paramount
goal.
. Without these changes, each year more than
$1 trillion (from foreign and U.S. investors) will be added to the mountain of financial
asset currently available for investment in the U.S.
They will be available to purchase
already-overvalued assets causing new 'bubbles' wherever they are invested.
Appropriate federal tax policy should limit federal budget deficits, which have
been a major cause of this otherwise superfluous capital. 'Fair trade' policies
under Globalization should be designed to entirely eliminate those current
trade imbalances which have resulted in these destabilizing investments in the
U.S. If these policies were implemented, all future speculative crises could be
avoided. If not, they will continue to plague the U.S. and world economies,
becoming even greater in the future.