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General News    H2'ed 11/18/10

Preliminary election assessment from Election Defense Alliance

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Jonathan Simon
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www.ElectionDefenseAlliance.org

November 15, 2010

Dear EDA Supporters,

The American people have voted and spoken. And, if you believe that the 75 million-plus votes that were sent into the privatized darkness of cyberspace emerged from that darkness as cast, then you have before you The American Self-Portrait, taken every two years and carried around in all our mental wallets till the next election.

Perhaps to you it is a grim portrait. Perhaps it doesn't seem to make sense, given the underlying national realities. Or perhaps it does seem to make sense, in light of the stacked electoral money game and all those polls that predicted and prepared us for this outcome.

It is our sad duty to inform you that, once again, the Portrait appears to be a fake.

At EDA we are still crunching numbers, reviewing disparities and anomalies, and will have much more detailed findings and analyses to report in the coming weeks. But the preliminary indications are clear: a dramatic nationwide pattern of "red shifts" (votecounts more Republican than exit polls) in the Senate and Governors' races; an aggregate red shift in the contests for the House; a huge catalogue of "glitches" and anomalies, and quite a few "impossible" results across the nation.

The truth is that America, while increasingly polarized, remains very closely divided. It doesn't take many added, deleted, or shifted votes to reverse outcomes across the land and to dramatically alter the Self-Portrait that emerges. Examining, for example, the Battle for the House, a total of fewer than 50,000 Democrat votes instead of Republican in the closest contests would have left the House under Democratic control. The red shift we uncovered for the House races nationwide was 1.7% or 1.25 million votes, twenty-five times the 50,000 votes that constituted the national Republican "victory" margin."

There are signs that real-time calibrating of votes needed to "win" targeted races is becoming easier, and the vote processing infrastructure to enable such exploits proliferating. EDA is attempting to investigate these developments, which make it possible to steal more elections while stealing fewer votes, leaving barely a numerical footprint.

EDA is also probing the polling methodologies that have yielded red-shifted polls to match red-shifted elections, making everything seem right enough. We know, for instance, that the now universally adopted sampling protocol known as the Likely Voter Cutoff Model is a red-shifting, methodologically unjustifiable ploy that nonetheless predicted last Tuesday's results. EDA is asking "Why?" We expect to issue a detailed study of polling distortions and fudge factors in the coming weeks.

We at EDA are accustomed and fairly hardened to nights like last Tuesday by now. The most maddening part for us may well be listening to the Wednesday post-mortem analyses in which very astute pundits on, say, NPR read the tea leaves with straight faces and 100% faith in the gospel of the official results as their premise. Official results that we, sleepless and still crunching numbers in an attempt to keep honest score at home, had already recognized as likely lies.

Excepting Dan Rather on HDNet TV on October 26, there have been virtually no journalists courageous enough to tell this story. Much of our work going forward will be to persuade those same pundits and opinion leaders to scale the towering wall of never-happen-here denial that is putting our nation at such grave risk.

We must get the facts about our electoral system into public dialogue to create a foundation for a rational and unblinking examination of evidence and for serious investigation. You can help us achieve this critical goal. Do you have a pipeline to any opinion leaders in any arena--academic, journalistic, celebrity, even corporate--to whom you could help us obtain access? If you do have access to any such public figures who might step up and get on board, please write to us directly as soon as possible.

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Jonathan Simon is author of "CODE RED: Computerized Elections and The War on American Democracy" and was executive director of Election Defense Alliance from 2006-16.

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