4. Sarah Palin
Sarah Palin has a devoted following, and she will be especially popular with women and evangelicals. Her big problem is her perceived lack of gravitas because of her short experience as Governor of Alaska. It is too late in the game to rectify the problem. While many in the Republican base like her, they will start to wonder, will the general electorate take her seriously? This coupled with her divisiveness among moderates will make primary voters pause long and hard before they vote for her.
5. Mitt Romney
Romney has a strong organization, access to lots of money, and gravitas when it comes to economic issues. What's the problem? It might be more accurate to ask what are the problems? He supported universal healthcare in Massachusetts; the system implemented is quite similar to what Obama ended up doing. Conservatives hate the law. So Romney will be faced with a choice: he can repudiate his support, and reinforce his image as a flip-flopper without convictions, or he can continue to embrace something so similar to the Obamacare conservatives so detest. I don't see how Romney can get around this issue easily. That is to say nothing of Romney's Mormonism, or his image among many as a slick politician.
It's a shame, because Romney's credibility on economic issues might actually make him the best candidate in the general election.
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