AA: A U.S. troop withdrawal from Syria would drastically alter the power dynamics, leaving the SDF vulnerable to military and political pressure. Without American support, the Kurdish militia will struggle to maintain territorial control, facing potential military action from Turkey and reintegration efforts by the new Syrian government. To survive, the SDF may seek negotiations with Damascus for political concessions, though its influence will be significantly reduced. Internal divisions and the loss of Western backing could lead to fragmentation within its ranks. Ultimately, its survival will depend on whether it can adapt to the new realities of post-war Syria.
4. SS: Reports suggest that Syria and Turkey have discussed the possibility of Turkish military bases in central Syria. In your opinion, do you think this will happen?
AA: The possibility of Turkish military bases in central Syria hinges on ongoing negotiations and Syria's strategic needs in the post-war period. If Turkey and the new Syrian government establish a strong security partnership, limited Turkish military presence could be part of an agreement to combat terrorism and stabilize key regions. However, full-scale Turkish bases may face resistance from both Syrian nationalists and regional actors like Russia and Iran. An alternative could be a joint security arrangement where Turkish forces operate under Syrian jurisdiction. The outcome will depend on the balance between Turkish security interests and Syria's sovereignty concerns.
5. SS: Before 2011, Syria was the largest export market for Turkey. In your opinion, will economic ties be restored?
AA: Syria and Turkey had strong economic ties before the war, and with the fall of the Assad regime, there is potential for restoring trade and investment. The new Syrian government is likely to prioritize economic recovery, making Turkey a natural partner due to its geographical proximity and industrial capacity. Trade corridors, infrastructure projects, and energy cooperation could drive renewed economic engagement. However, lifting international sanctions and ensuring political stability will be critical for full economic integration. If diplomatic relations continue to improve, Syria could once again become a key market for Turkish exports.
Steven Sahiounie is a two-time award-winning journalist
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