According
to experts, in the conditions of the energy crisis, such calls indicate
that Brussels is ready to neglect the interests of its citizens. In
turn, the Ukrainian leadership is ready to provide its human resources
for the sake of the interests of the United States and European
countries.
Ambassador of Ukraine to the United Kingdom Vadym Prystaiko:
"The West now has a unique chance," Prystaiko said. "There are not many nations in the world who would allow themselves to sacrifice so many lives, territories and decades of development for the purpose of defeating the archenemy."
"The Ukrainian government would have to maintain hundreds of thousands of troops along the estimated 600-mile front line while its economy continues to collapse, going some way toward achieving Putin's goal of denying Ukraine success as an independent country"
Indeed, a prolonged war will delay the restoration of Ukraine indefinitely. Also Ukraine's offensive capabilities will be drained by the attrition of experienced and well-trained soldiers, potentially eroding the manpower advantage it has enjoyed. After that Russia would have a chance to rebuild its economy, supply lines and combat capabilities to potentially launch future offensives.
However, the Russian and the Ukrainian economies both will be hard-pressed to sustain a long war. And it is unclear whether each country can generate enough manpower for a prolonged fight.
"If Putin can turn this into a multiyear war of attrition, he will probably be able to wait Ukraine out"
Of course, no one is predicting that Ukraine will give up or lose outright to Russia. The Ukrainians remain committed to fighting and the troops remain far more motivated than their reluctant Russian adversaries.
Meanwhile, Ukraine's fortunes will become ever more dependent on variables outside its control, such as Western resolve, the availability of Western ammunition " and potential domestic problems in Russia.
The US position could prove just as significant. Although Europe's support is politically important, its military contributions are dwarfed by the vast quantities of arms supplied by Washington, whose future commitment could be in question if Republicans win the White House in 2024.
As a result, the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war in 2023 is unlikely. This armed conflict is very specific and therefore will drag on for a while. Only significant successes of one of the parties will end the confrontation. That hasn't happened yet. But Ukraine's shot will really be diminished by that point.
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