"To make the fissile material," Colin explained, "he needs to develop an ability to enrich uranium."
"Saddam Hussein is determined to get his hands on a nuclear bomb," he said.
And here's where Colin swings into the "aluminum tubes" fairy tale and briefly brushes up against the truth before getting back on message.
Saddam is so determined, he told the audience, "that he has made repeated covert attempts to acquire high-specification aluminum tubes from 11 different countries, even after inspections resumed."
"By now," Colin said, "just about everyone has heard of these tubes, and we all know that there are differences of opinion."
"There is controversy about what these tubes are for," he admitted.
"Most U.S. experts think they are intended to serve as rotors in centrifuges used to enrich uranium," he said.
"Other experts and the Iraqis themselves," he said, "argue that they are really to produce the rocket bodies for a conventional weapon, a multiple rocket launcher."
"Let me tell you what is not controversial about these tubes," Colin told the audience.
"First, all the experts who have analyzed the tubes in our possession agree that they can be adapted for centrifuge use," he said.
"Second," he continued, "Iraq had no business buying them for any purpose.
"They are banned for Iraq," he said.
"I am no expert on centrifuge tubes," Colin said, "but just as an old Army trooper, I can tell you a couple of things: First, it strikes me as quite odd that these tubes are manufactured to a tolerance that far exceeds U.S. requirements for comparable rockets," he said.
"Maybe Iraqis just manufacture their conventional weapons to a higher standard than we do," he advised, "but I don't think so," he added.
"Second," Colin continued, "we actually have examined tubes from several different batches that were seized clandestinely before they reached Baghdad."
"What we notice," he said, "in these different batches is a progression to higher and higher levels of specification, including, in the latest batch, an anodized coating on extremely smooth inner and outer surfaces."
"Saddam Hussein is determined to get his hands on a nuclear bomb," he said.
And here's where Colin swings into the "aluminum tubes" fairy tale and briefly brushes up against the truth before getting back on message.
Saddam is so determined, he told the audience, "that he has made repeated covert attempts to acquire high-specification aluminum tubes from 11 different countries, even after inspections resumed."
"There is controversy about what these tubes are for," he admitted.
"Most U.S. experts think they are intended to serve as rotors in centrifuges used to enrich uranium," he said.
"Other experts and the Iraqis themselves," he said, "argue that they are really to produce the rocket bodies for a conventional weapon, a multiple rocket launcher."
"Let me tell you what is not controversial about these tubes," Colin told the audience.
"First, all the experts who have analyzed the tubes in our possession agree that they can be adapted for centrifuge use," he said.
"Second," he continued, "Iraq had no business buying them for any purpose.
"They are banned for Iraq," he said.
"I am no expert on centrifuge tubes," Colin said, "but just as an old Army trooper, I can tell you a couple of things: First, it strikes me as quite odd that these tubes are manufactured to a tolerance that far exceeds U.S. requirements for comparable rockets," he said.
"Maybe Iraqis just manufacture their conventional weapons to a higher standard than we do," he advised, "but I don't think so," he added.
"Second," Colin continued, "we actually have examined tubes from several different batches that were seized clandestinely before they reached Baghdad."
"What we notice," he said, "in these different batches is a progression to higher and higher levels of specification, including, in the latest batch, an anodized coating on extremely smooth inner and outer surfaces."
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