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Our Long National Nightmare Isn't Over, It's Just Beginning

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Richard Clark
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By the way, what sort of psychology explains how a Clinton, Kerry or Obama, smart as they are, can be so passive, even when getting their heads handed to them by the most scurrilous of creeps on the political landscape -- pieces of garbage who could be destroyed with the slightest show of self-defense and political courage?

Obama came into his presidency with more wind in his sails than perhaps anyone since Johnson in 1964, and this for a black man with an Islamic name, no less. Then he blew it, utterly and completely. The indications of this are everywhere -- there are Democrats running for Congress today who are literally running TV ads dissing Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi. And even those who are not, mostly don't want the president showing up in their districts before this election.

Now the latest polls are showing Republicans with a 10% lead in generic congressional ballots. This is the biggest lead they've ever had in the 68-year history of polling. Meanwhile, half of Republican voters are enthusiastic about voting this November compared to only one-fourth of Democrats who are. On top of everything else, Republicans are doing this well despite having nothing to offer in terms of a plan for solving the problems that are upsetting voters. They will cut taxes on the rich. That's it. The entirety of the rest of what they stand for is simply "NO!!!" to all things Obama.

Now, think about this for a second, and bear in mind that when it comes to the GOP we are talking about a political party that the very same polls show voters still hating! How astonishingly inept do you have to be to turn the world upside down and hand not only resurrection but in fact control of Congress to such thugs? What kind of a full-blown multiple-car crash of a Democrat politician do you have to be to make the party of Bush, Cheney, Boehner and McConnell seem preferable to the party of FDR and JFK -- and by a wide margin?!

Wait. Don't answer yet. It gets worse. In 2003, the ratio of Democratic to Republican identifying/leaning voters was about 50 to 40 among young voters, known as the Millennial generation. By 2008, via a combination of the effects of both George W. Bush and candidate Barack Obama, that ratio had moved an astonishing distance to provide a whopping gap of 62 to 30. Now, less than two years into the administration of "Mr. We-Are-The-Ones-We've-Been-Waiting-For," it is back to 54 to 40! These are incredible swings that are usually far more stable. And they are incredibly important, because there is good evidence to suggest that voters who select a given party over a series of elections in the early part of their lives wind up keeping that party ID for life.

In other words, Democrats had an opportunity here to lock in with an entire generation of new voters, giving them a hugely disproportionate preference to continue voting for them. Imagine the difference this would have made in elections for the next seventy(!) years, especially over time as these Millennials replaced older, more conservative, voters in the electorate, and as they themselves came to turn out in larger proportion each election cycle, as every generation does when it ages. Democrats could have come close to locking up control of American government for the coming half-century, just as they essentially did after 1932. Instead, the party's leaders have alienated this new generation so much that they have returned their numbers to the period when George Bush and his party were highly popular!

Obama and the Democrats will get slaughtered in November. This will happen not so much because of the "socialist' crimes they are alleged by the right to have committed -- which are of course utter nonsense -- but simply because of what they have not done, which is to aggressively pursue real solutions to the country's problems. Yet, because of the "socialist,' "big-spending,' "freedom-crushing' narrative that the "regressives" have successfully foisted upon the Dems, the administration will have no option after the election but to tack yet further to the right in the ensuing two years.

That will be disastrous for Obama, for Democrats and for the country

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Several years after receiving my M.A. in social science (interdisciplinary studies) I was an instructor at S.F. State University for a year, but then went back to designing automated machinery, and then tech writing, in Silicon Valley. I've (more...)
 

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