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THE ASTANA GLOBAL ECONOMIC FORUM - A Review

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Come Carpentier de Gourdon
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"The General Assembly notes the initiative of the Government of Kazakhstan to host an international conference in Astana from 22 to 24 May 2013, entitled "World Anti-Crisis Conference: effective countermeasures to global uncertainty and economic downturns"

 

The Astana Declaration

World Anti-Crisis Conference

Preamble

 

The Global Economy is currently facing a major set of new challenges, and remains under considerable distress amid continued concerns about sovereign debt sustainability and financial system fragilities. The uncertainty stemming from the euro crisis and questions regarding the effectiveness of certain policy measures, such as the rounds of quantitative easing, underpin growing unease about the quality and strength of the current recovery and future economic growth and financial stability.

Persistently low growth in the leading nations implies prolonged stress in the global financial system and advanced economies. Indeed, the knock-on effects on growth, employment, income distribution, poverty and social cohesion have been profound and deep despite various policy measures in place. The umbrella term "global crisis", however, conceals a great deal of heterogeneity. The crisis did not occur everywhere: some countries were at the epicenter, while others merely felt its spillover effects.

Wherever one stands on the origin of the crisis, the model of debt-driven, highly leveraged growth appears unsustainable. This is the most challenging task we face: how to achieve and maintain inclusive, sustainable, and balanced growth through greater international cooperation, trade, and investments, while ensuring global and national financial system stability, minimizing vulnerability to exogenous shocks and internal credit bubbles, through appropriate, open, integrated, transparent, predictable, and responsible regulation, oversight, and systemic risk management. This is the task we set forth for our Anti-crisis conference.

The Anti-Crisis Conference highlighted the considerable challenges facing the international community. We, the conference participants, stressed significant shortcomings to address the on-going crises in the Eurozone, U.S. and other advanced economies, which undermine stability and growth of the global economy. Weak global economic governance was seen as a major obstacle to more effective international crisis resolution. At the same time, the increasing importance of emerging local currency markets was seen to represent a critical source of future growth and stability of the international economy, but concerns were raised that integration remains incomplete. The orderly integration of major emerging markets' currencies and financial assets into international capital markets was considered to represent one of the most important international economic developments over the medium term.

On adjustment in the Eurozone, we remain concerned that substantial policy efforts and considerable institutional adjustments have not led to an expected recovery. The Eurozone suffers a fundamental confidence crisis that risks undermining the foundations of the European project itself. Mounting inter-Eurozone economic divergence raises doubts about the effectiveness of common economic policies while uncertainty remains what alternative policies would be feasible in the current international economic environment. Policies need to be sought that restore confidence in the viability of the Eurozone.

On monetary policy and financial stability, we urge clarification on the sustainability and possible adverse consequences of current unprecedented monetary expansion of key international currencies. This is seen as critical to ensure that the measures translate into a robust recovery in affected countries. Clarity is also needed on possible exchange rate effects the measures produce and whether greater cooperation is required to avert disorderly exchange rate adjustments. We also seek a reassessment of whether financial restructuring has been sufficient to establish greater financial stability.

On global capital markets, we see that capital markets remain disproportionately dominated by a relatively narrow set of financial assets. The increasing integration of emerging markets into international currencies and capital markets is seen as essential to bring greater stability and broaden the financial resources of the international economy. We urge to support measures to bring about a true globalisation of currencies and capital markets.

On the new global financial architecture, we emphasise that existing institutional arrangements need to be reassessed as to whether they remain sufficient and sufficiently adaptable to support effectively international cooperation.

On the new realities of the global economy, we stressed that proper understanding is required of the permanent effects of high levels of indebtedness, demographics and the expansion of China and emerging markets on markets and the global policy environment.

On the fragmentation and divergence in the global economy, we urge clarification on the advantages and disadvantages of financial markets disintermediation and inter-country economic performance differences.

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Come Carpentier is a French writer, traveller, editor, consultant and researcher born in the Canary Islands, who lives and works in India and in Europe (France, Italy.Switzerland), helping manage a private foundation and contributing to various (more...)
 
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