82 online
 
Most Popular Choices
Share on Facebook 73 Printer Friendly Page More Sharing Summarizing
OpEdNews Op Eds    H4'ed 11/19/20

Arms Control in the Near Future

By       (Page 1 of 3 pages)   No comments

Jason Sibert
Message Jason Sibert

Titan Missile
Titan Missile
(Image by M McBey)
  Details   DMCA

We live in an uncertain world.

President Donald Trump was just turned out of office in the presidential election and it looks like we're in for an interesting few months before President Joe Biden is sworn in. There is a geopolitical struggle in the world between various power blocks with the United States and its allies in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in Europe and in the Quadratic Security Dialog in Asia and Russia and China are in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. The United Nations recently passed the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, which attempts to ban all nuclear weapons. However, no country that possesses nuclear weapons, including the United States, passed the treaty. The new treaty contributes to meeting the obligations of the 1968 Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, which committed all signing nations to pursue negotiations related to reducing the nuclear arms race.

While the new treaty delegitimizes the use of nuclear weapons, it means nothing if no nuclear-armed states sign it. In his story "The Nuclear Barn Treaty: A Much Needed Wake Up Call," Arms Control Association Executive Director Daryl Kimball said that nuclear-armed countries should acknowledge the arrival of the treaty and at least begin a legal framework for the use of nuclear weapons. He recommended that the United States should bring home its tactical nuclear weapons from bases in Belgium, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Turkey as a step that would enable these countries to join the TPNW.

Kimball recommends other actions such as freezing the size of nuclear arsenals and fissile-material stockpiles, concluding a multilateral agreement on no first use of nuclear weapons, securing the ratifications needed to bring the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty into force, reviving the U.S./Russian disarmament process banning the introduction of new nuclear weapons, and concluding legally binding commitments to target or threaten non-nuclear weapons states. The CTBT is a 1996 treaty that prohibits nuclear weapons test explosions. It was signed by 184 countries but not the U.S.

For any of these ideas to become a reality, the U.S. must cooperate with geopolitical competitors like China and Russia, as stated by Robert Einhorn in his story "Revitalizing Nonproliferation Cooperation with Russia and China." There are historical markers for cooperation. Despite periods of bilateral rivalry, the U.S. and Soviet Russia often found ways to cooperate to keep the Cold War out of the nuclear sphere. China was a latecomer to nuclear non-proliferation. During the Cold War, it advocated the spread of nuclear weapons to break the hegemony of the superpowers. However, there was a change in the 1990s when it began to voice some support for nonproliferation. China felt that by adhering to nonproliferation norms that it could maintain a more stable international environment to help its development, maintain the non-nuclear status of Japan and its neighbors, and increase its status as a member of the UN Security Council. It joined the NPT and other nonproliferation organizations. China and Russia were willing to cooperate with the United States in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and China has shown a willingness to pressure North Korea to give up its nuclear ambitions.

The Trump administration's actions have made the tensions between power blocks worse. Trump left the JCPOA, which was opposed by Russia and China. China feels sanctions on North Korea have caused the country to dig in its heels.

The level of distrust between our country and Russia and China will be difficult to overcome. China has been willing to engage with our country when relations between it and the U.S. were good. However, China's obsession with Taiwan and its fear of a successful U.S./North Korea nuclear arms deal, as it would increase U.S. influence in the region, make relations tough.

Next Page  1  |  2  |  3

(Note: You can view every article as one long page if you sign up as an Advocate Member, or higher).

Rate It | View Ratings

Jason Sibert Social Media Pages: Facebook page url on login Profile not filled in       Twitter page url on login Profile not filled in       Linkedin page url on login Profile not filled in       Instagram page url on login Profile not filled in

Jason Sibert worked for the Suburban Journals in the St. Louis area as a staff writer for a decade. His work has been published in a variety of publications since then and he is currently the executive director of the Peace Economy Project.
Go To Commenting
The views expressed herein are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.
Writers Guidelines

 
Contact AuthorContact Author Contact EditorContact Editor Author PageView Authors' Articles
Support OpEdNews

OpEdNews depends upon can't survive without your help.

If you value this article and the work of OpEdNews, please either Donate or Purchase a premium membership.

STAY IN THE KNOW
If you've enjoyed this, sign up for our daily or weekly newsletter to get lots of great progressive content.
Daily Weekly     OpEd News Newsletter
Name
Email
   (Opens new browser window)
 

Most Popular Articles by this Author:     (View All Most Popular Articles by this Author)

Starting a New Discussion

Arms Control and New START

Escape from Authoritarianism

On Geoeconomics, International Law, and Peace

Negotiations in the Ukraine War

Our Government, Democracy and World Order

To View Comments or Join the Conversation:

Tell A Friend