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OpEdNews Op Eds    H2'ed 2/19/15

EU Reeling Between US and Russia

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Pepe Escobar
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EU out, BRICS and SCO in

The Empire of Chaos certainly has reasons to gloat about the nasty split between the EU and Russia. Moscow's working hypothesis is that sanctions won't vanish anytime soon. And forget about "business as usual" anytime soon. Germany's captains of industry are not amused.

And yet, if only a few years ago President Putin was proposing -- in Germany -- a wider Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok, the Ukraine tragedy has in fact turbocharged a "Go East" move; the Russia-China strategic partnership, a sort of prime Eurasia from Shanghai to St. Petersburg that also happens to be one of the touchstones of the massive Chinese-driven New Silk Road(s) infrastructure project, linking China to Europe via Central Asia and also via a high-speed rail upgrade of the Trans-Siberian.

The myth of Russia's "isolation" propelled by Washington and its vassals is a joke. An Empire of Chaos-imposed Cold War 2.0 is not the end of (Russia's) world. Russian diplomacy is active on all fronts -- from South Asia (India) to the Middle East (Egypt). This summer, Russia will host two crucial summits: the BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).

The BRICS keep advancing their push for a multipolar world -- from the implementation of a development bank to trading in their own currencies. The SCO will soon welcome India and Pakistan as members, and in the near future, Iran -- solidifying itself as an Asian political/economic alliance.

The Empire of Chaos's obsessive agenda precludes any benefits for the EU. Apart from Gazprom, Russia has been sidelined as a trade partner -- at least in the near future. And there's not much the EU may profit from Ukraine; it won't fork out a single devalued euro to "save" it from bankruptcy, and it won't play with fire by facilitating its incorporation by NATO. I have argued it all depends on Germany. Business Germany wants to do business with Eurasian powers Russia and China. Political Germany is still wondering where its strategic priorities lie.

Diplomats in a split to the core Brussels, off the record, have hinted Moscow sent a clear message. Either everyone embarks on a Chinese-style "win-win" situation, from Lisbon to Vladivostok; or the EU blindly follows the Empire of Chaos, chooses confrontation in Ukraine, and receives as a poisoned gift a war in its eastern borderlands it cannot possibly win.

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Pepe Escobar is an independent geopolitical analyst. He writes for RT, Sputnik and TomDispatch, and is a frequent contributor to websites and radio and TV shows ranging from the US to East Asia. He is the former roving correspondent for Asia (more...)
 

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