Moreover, the US is exerting immense pressure on Israel not to strike Iran for fear of derailing the rapprochement with Iran which the Obama White House is seeking, and the possibility of Iranian retaliation against the remaining US presence in Iraq and Afghanistan as well as the Persian Gulf energy infrastructure.
Tehran is cognizant of the significance of these developments. Iran had already started its drive to exploit and fill in vacuums created by the US in the early 1990s. At the time, Iran exploited the widespread trauma as a result of the US undermining and shaming of both (Iraq's) nationalist Sunni Islam and (Saudi Arabia's) traditional-conservative Sunni Islam in the 1990-1 Gulf War in order to push its own Shi'ite-based doctrine of revolutionary-militant Islam. By 1992, Sudan's Hassan al-Turabi adapted the Iranian jihadist tenets and adopted them into the Sunni neo-salafite doctrine, thus setting the grounds for the ascent of the jihadist trend now popularly associated with Osama bin Laden, Ayman al-Zawahiri, and their supporters.
Presently, Tehran is ready to surge and exploit the far more significant vacuum which will be created by the US de facto withdrawal from Iraq and Persian Gulf. The continued global preoccupation with Iran's nuclear program serves Tehran's interests for it constantly reminds friends and foes alike about Iran's claim to regional and global preeminence. Tehran uses the nuclear crisis to project self-confidence and threaten its neighbors against counting on the US to protect them.
The Obama Administration is playing into Iran's hands. For example, on August 1, 2010, the US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen, publicly acknowledged that the US had contingency plans for "the military options [which] have been on the table and remain on the table", but quickly qualified that any military action against Iran could have "unintended consequences that are difficult to predict in what is an incredibly unstable part of the world".
This caveat did not prevent Tehran from issuing counter-threats on August 3, 2010. "If any threat strikes against Iran, the Islamic Republic armed forces are fully prepared to counter them on the ground, sea and air," IRGC Brig.-Gen. Ahmad-Reza Pourdastan stated. "Military threats of US officials against the Islamic Republic are nothing new, we're certain that the US military forces are in an appalling condition. The increasing number of deaths and suicide among American forces attest to the failure of the US in Iraq and Afghanistan."
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