Geers, who is also an ambassador for the NATO Cyber Centre, said the Surkov leak may hint at an emerging behavioural norm between nation states.
Within hours of the leak the Atlantic Council (of which Geers is also a member(senior fellow)) published a thorough analysis of the information, suggesting that it is authentic.
"Nearly every email in the leak is insignificant, and thus far no one has found a 'grand slam' email that would rock the Kremlin to its core," the Washington, DC-based think-tank wrote , based in part on the mundane nature of many of the emails.
When compared to this January 6 Intel statements on CNN "Officials said this was just one of multiple indicators to give them high confidence of both Russian involvement and Russian intentions. Officials reiterated that there is no single intercepted communication that qualifies as a "smoking gun" on Russia's intention to benefit Trump's candidacy or to claim credit for doing so."
And noted in the DNI report about Russian communication we have another "secret source." The ODNI could have at least had the presence of mind not to quote the Atlantic Council hot words directly.
In the US there are 17 Intelligence Agencies that answer to the ODNI. Why are they basing intelligence that puts Russia in a bad light by one of the think tanks that want to start a war with Russia?
The Atlantic Council made the Ukrainian hackers part of the "secret intelligence source." As shown at least one group is ultra-nationalist Pravy Sektor that want to start a war and take western facing Russian land in the name of Bandera and Ukraine.
The Sidney Morning Herald closes the article with this. "One analyst said privately that hackers in Ukraine were likely piling on any tension between the US and Russia."
The Atlantic Council and not just Dimitri Alperovitch are maintaining relationships with the Ukrainian hackers. Since the Atlantic Council would have taken senior positions, this line of investigation puts the hackers one step away from Hillary Clinton, the DNC, and the Clinton campaign.
Let's not forget the Chalupas. Alexandra Chalupa made the DNC hack a big story. She was a Clinton campaign staffer and was the emigre groups leader. Chalupa and her sister Andrea have a direct connection to the hackers from working with the ultra-nationalist Ukrainian website Euromaidan.press.
Because of her proximity to Clinton, this puts the Ukrainian Intelligence hackers inside the Clinton campaign. The third Chalupa, Irene, is a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council and runs Ukrainian propaganda channel Stopfake. This site is also part of the network Ukraine's hackers work with.
The hackers in Kyberhunta are both extremists and Ukrainian Intelligence operatives. Why did the DNC and the Clinton Campaign allow them to compromise their security?
These hackers, RUH8 in particular are the only group outside of Crowdstrike that are known to have the X Agent tool used in the DNC hack. In their own words, one of their favorite hacking techniques is spear-fishing which was done at the DNC. RUH8 has all but admitted to doing the DNC hack in specific terms shown above and in the previous linked article. Because they are now part of the proof of a Russian hack, is it any wonder they laugh at US Intel Agencies?
According to a RFE/RL interview, "RUH8 says the Cyber Alliance uses "all tools and methods" at its disposal to hack into their perceived foes' accounts. In particular, he says, spear-phishing -- using messages that mimic those of legitimate companies along with a request and link to change personal security information -- "is quite efficient. People readily give up their passwords and personal info," he says. "They receive something in their [e-]mail like, 'Your account will be suspended if you don't confirm [your security details].' They click that link and we have them."
According to Reuters"Director of National Intelligence James Clapper said on Tuesday the U.S. intelligence community's report concluding that Russia orchestrated hacks during the 2016 presidential campaign was based on a mix of human sources, collection of technical data and open-source information."
The people listed above represent most of the chain of evidence the DNI uses. These groups are the only groups surrounding the DNC hack. There is no doubt that part of the ODNI report data was given by Pravy Sektor hackers through the Atlantic Council. This is incredible since the probability of convicting them for the hacks is high given the evidence.
(Note: You can view every article as one long page if you sign up as an Advocate Member, or higher).