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A
treatise on the upheaval in Ukraine, in eight takes.
The
money shot:
As
tensions rose on the streets of the Russian-speaking eastern portion of
Ukraine, the response of the new government in the capital on Sunday
was not to send troops, but to send rich people.
The
interim government, worried about Russian
efforts to destabilize or seize regions in eastern Ukraine after
effectively
taking control of the Crimean peninsula in the south, is recruiting the
country's wealthy businessmen, known as the oligarchs, to serve as
governors of
the eastern provinces.
The
strategy, which Ukrainian news media are
attributing to Yulia V. Tymoshenko, a former prime minister and party
leader,
is recognition that the oligarchs represent the country's industrial
and
business elite, and exercise great influence over thousands of workers
in the
east, which is largely ethnically Russian.
The
office of President Oleksandr V. Turchynov
announced on Sunday the appointments of two billionaires -- Sergei
Taruta in
Donetsk and Ihor Kolomoysky in Dnipropetrovsk -- and more were
reportedly under
consideration for positions in the eastern regions.
The
ultra-wealthy industrialists wield such
power in Ukraine that they form what amounts to a shadow government,
with
empires of steel and coal, telecoms and media, and armies of workers.
Persuading some to serve as governors in the east was a small victory
for the
new government in Kiev. 1
Has
there ever been a more pathetic postscript
to a putative "revolution"? This act by Ukraine's new-old rulers
encapsulates
everything that's wrong with the phony "democracy promotion" advanced
by
American "regime changers," everything that's wrong with the recent
history of
the post-Soviet republics, and everything that was wrong with Soviet
Stalinism. It's a sorry symptom of the
sad state of politics and ideology in Ukraine, and in the whole wide
neo-liberal world. More on that later.
Let's
take a careful look at what has happened
in Ukraine.
It
was an insurrection
What
occurred in Ukraine is the overthrow of a
democratically elected government and the subversion of parliamentary
democracy
by an insurrection. There can be no
serious argument about this. According to the extant standards of
bourgeois
democracy, Viktor Yanukovych was freely and fairly elected.
There was and is no dispute about that. His party, the
Party of the Regions, was elected as
the largest in the Verkhovna Rada
(the Ukrainian parliament). He was driven out of office and out of the
country,
and his party was effectively overturned in parliament, by an armed
insurrection.
Yanukovych
was so corrupt
He
certainly was, before and after his
election. But so are his political opponents, all of whom are in the
pockets of
one oligarch or another. This includes his former nemesis, and the
woman some
in the West see as "
almost
as a modern-day saint,"
2
Yulia Tymoshenko, who is a corrupt oligarch in her own
right. She made a
fortune in sweetheart natural-gas deals in the 1990s with then-Prime
Minister
Pavlo Lazarenko--deals for which Lazarenko was prosecuted and convicted,
and
Tymoshenko named as a co-conspirator,
in
the United States. This earned her the nickname of "The Gas
Princess," and
because she was very cozy with Russia in these deals--before, fortune
made, she
became all anti-Russian and pro-Western--she is also known on the street
as "
Putin
in a skirt.
3"
As
one commentator remarks:
In
a country with endemic and rather
extraordinary corruption--which is really the most important issue for
many
Ukrainians--Tymoshenko's best hope may be that Yanukovych has left
behind such
obvious symbols of his stupid
cupidity.4
Now,
The Economist reckons:
"One [clear thing] is that the government is going
to be controlled by Yulia Tymoshenko. She has no official post, but Mr
[Alexander] Turchinov [speaker of the parliament and acting president]
is her
right-hand man and Mr [Arseniy] Yastsenyuk [the new Prime
Minister] is the
leader of her party, Fatherland." Actually, I think this may be true in
the
short run, but it's not a sure bet to last.
The
Economist
also points
out that, behind the public theater on the maidan:
A less
visible battle has been going on between various Ukrainian oligarchs
and the
members of Mr. Yanukovych's extended family who took their place at the
trough.
These oligarchs used their money, influence and political fronts to
pile on
pressure."5
The
Economist's
analysis is echoed by Denis, a member of the
Autonomous Workers Union (a revolutionary syndicalist group) in Kiev,
in an
interview published in mid-February:
Since
2010, Viktor Yanukovych,
who had initially been just a puppet of powerful oligarchs, has become
an
ambitious businessman himself. His elder son has accumulated vast
powers; "The
Family" occupied important positions in the government, monopolized
control
over capital flows, and started fighting with
Rinat
Akhmetov, Dmitry Firtash and other oligarchs who had been their
sponsors
previously. Naturally, the traditional oligarchic clans didn't like
this, so
the current protest has also an elite dimension.6
Yanukovych,
then, is
only the nouveauist of the rich oligarchs, squeezing his snout into the
trough
with "stupid cupidity." That made him a target of the USDA-approved smartly
greedy swine, and a convenient
scapegoat to throw under the bus of popular discontent. The Western
media won't
be featuring shocked, shocked
corruption-morality-play tours of Akhmetov's, or Firtsah's, or
Tymoshenko's,
personal palaces, in Ukraine and elsewhere, with America's Top
Designers
judging how gaudily or elegantly appointed they are.
So,
corrupt indeed. Everyone
accuses everyone else of corruption, and they are all right.
Transparency
International ranks Ukraine 144
th (of 177) on
its
Corruption
Perception Index,
tied with Nigeria. Corruption
is endemic in the Ukraine, and the overthrow of
Yanukovych does nothing to overturn that. Even the Rada, now the seat
of all power in the new, Yanukovych-free,
democratic Ukraine, is, as
The Economist
recognizes, "itself the product of this corrupt system, its seats
bought and
sold by the oligarchs' factions for years." So, "a corrupt,
cowardly and thuggish president" has been overthrown, "but the
post-Soviet order which prevailed in
Ukraine over the past two decades has not been uprooted."
Only
in a bizarre--but unfortunately real and
elaborate--ideological construct, can a round of oligarchic musical
chairs be
sold as a victory for "demo cracy."
It
was the "endemic
and extraordinary" corruption, the theft of the wealth of society,
that, more
than anything else, infuriated the people of Ukraine. The Economist
correctly
notes that "The oligarchs and their political place-men are creatures
of the
dysfunctional state that Maidan rejects."
Yet, it's the oligarchs--"ultra-wealthy" billionaires with "empires of
steel"--who are now being sent to rule over, and soothe/placate their
"armies of
workers." Goodbye, Yanuk, hello, John Galt-ovich.
That
anybody thinks
billionaire oligarchs are just the ticket to soothe the savage breasts
of
discontented workers, marks how deeply entrenched capitalist, allied
with nationalist,
ideologies have become in the post-Soviet states. In Ukraine, and in
western
Ukraine particularly, Stalin's crimes gave rise to a nasty strain of
nationalism that collaborated with the Nazis during WWII (discussed
below).
This, combined with a visceral rejection of anything calling itself
"socialism," has led to a hardening of Ukrainian identity in
"nationalist"
terms, promoted by Ukrainian educational and institutions. As Denis
remarks:
[T]he
crash of the
"real socialism" also brought about the crash of the progressive values
which
had been officially promoted in that society (atheism, feminism,
internationalism). The gap has been promptly filled by the wild mixture
of
nationalism and conservatism (and New Age charlatan philosophy, for
that matter).
This shift was eagerly supported by the state ideological apparatus.
Actually,
in many universities at the beginning of 1990s the departments of
"scientific
communism" were rebranded into "scientific nationalism"! Later they
became the
departments of "political science" though.
It
has also led to a
host of illusions, reinforced by the messages of Western mass media,
about
what's on offer in the capitalist West:
[Y]ou
should understand that from the very
beginning people had a very peculiar understanding of
"Europe." They pictured a very utopian ideal -- society
without corruption, with high wages, social security, rule of law,
honest
politicians, smiling faces, clean streets etc. -- and called it "EU".
And when
one tried to tell them that actual EU has nothing to do with this
pretty
picture, that people there actually burn EU flags and protest against
austerity
etc. -- they retorted: "So would you better live in Russia then?" So,
yes, from
the very beginning the protest was driven by the false consciousness of
"civilizational choice", by nationalist ideological patterns which
didn't leave
any room for the class agenda. These are the results of the bourgeois
cultural
hegemony, in Gramscian terms, and this is the main problem we should
fight in
this country over next years (or even decades).
Capitalism,
Socialism, Nationalism: Post-Soviet
Confusions
In
their anti-Russian
fury and nationalist rejection of "Bolshevik" class politics, people in
the maidan may think they're getting the
Real Housewives of Beverly Hills, but they're going to end up with the
real
homeless of Camden.
The Yanukovych regime itself promoted these Europeanist
illusions. Here's Denis again:
EU
hysteria [was]
provoked by the government itself! For the whole year 2013 they were
constantly
talking about how Ukraine is going to sign that agreement with the EU.
They've
roused the expectations of the "pro-European" part of the population,
and then,
when suddenly they made a U-turn, people were extremely frustrated and
angry. That
was the initial impulse.
Indeed,
Yanukovych
dug his own grave in many ways, including his attempts to institute the
neo-liberal austerity measures that were demanded by the EU deal:
[T]here are very
real reasons for people to hate
the government, too. When Yanukovych
became president in 2010, he started pushing for unpopular neo-liberal
steps.
The natural gas tariffs were growing; the government launched medical
reform
which will eventually lead to closure of many medical institutions and
to
introducing the universal medical insurance instead of the
unconditional
coverage [ Yanukocare? ]; they pushed
through extremely unpopular pension reform (raising pension age for
women)
against the will of more than 90% of population; there was an attempt
at
passing the new Labour Code which would seriously affect workers'
rights; the
railway is being corporatized; finally, they passed a new Tax Code
which hit
small business. But eventually this assault wasn't very successful, and
the
government had to back off. They
saw they can't move on with such
low levels of support. But still, the welfare of the working classes,
as well
as the general state of the economy, leaves much to be desired, and
people have
all legitimate reasons to demand better living standards. Sadly, these
grievances are dressed in the
false consciousness of nationalism.
Whatever
one thinks
of Yanukovych, the idea that, by not signing the EU deal in November,
he
committed some horrible, treasonous act that compromised Ukraine's
independence, is the
opposite of the
case. Indeed, as Marilyn
Vogt-Downey says, in her
excellent
analysis, Yanukovych
"would
have severely dampened enthusiasm for this Agreement,"
if
he "had summarized the terms
of
only one part of it--the Agreement's 'Deep and Comprehensive
Free Trade Area,'
and explained what it would mean to the Ukrainian people--namely,
'convert[ing]
Ukraine into one big free trade zone', where the anti-environment,
anti-labor,
and pro-business laws would prevail."
7
He
could not, however, because: "during his
time in power, he--like all the Ukrainian rulers since Ukraine became
independent with the collapse of the USSR in 1992--had already been
pursuing
measures similar to those the IMF would impose." So, the popular
discontent
generated by EU austerity measures led to a popular movement that overthrew Yanukovych,
in favor of a government that vows to institute those same EU austerity
measures! Discontent against an
unpopular elected president has led to his overthrow in favor of an
unelected
government whose prime minister
says:
"I'm going to be the most unpopular prime minister
in the history of my country."
8
As
someone who lives
a few blocks from Ukrainian Congress Committee of America, the
Ukrainian
National Home, the Ukrainian Museum, the Ukrainian-American Youth
Association,
restaurants named Kiev and Veselka ("probably the most famous Ukrainian
restaurant in the world"
9), whose sister married
a Ukrainian-American,
and who is a denizen of joints where owners, patrons, and friends are
speaking
Ukrainian, I humbly submit that: Ukraines who think the government
produced by
this insurrection, with the EU-IMF initiative it adopts, is going to
solve
these problems are confused. This "revolution" is not about making
Ukraine more
democratic or less corrupt; it is
about
creating a government whose "main responsibility"
will be to carry through a social onslaught against the Ukrainian
working class
at the behest of international capital.
10 These
measures include
the cuts in pensions and crucial fuel subsidies, as well as things like
the
large-scale fracking deal with Chevron that was announced last
week. Economists predict a 10% collapse in GDP;
Greece lost 25% in 5 years with the program the new prime minister
wants to
emulate [see below]. Rest assured, however: Rimat, Dmitri, and Yulia
won't lose
one estate or one
hryvnia.
The
new government
knows it will have a few months, while everybody's all warm and cuddly
in the
afterglow of "democratic revolution," to inflict the plague of
austerity,
before popular anger is turned against it. Arseny Yatseniuk, the
American-favored
prime minister, calls it a "kamikaze government."
Oleksandr
Turchynov, the president, says: "This government is doomed. Three, four
months
and they won't be able to work, because they have to make unpopular
decisions."11
It's
not just wacky
socialists who understand things this way. Here's an excerpt from a Forbes
article, cogently titled, "Washington's
Man Yatsenyuk Setting Ukraine Up For Ruin":
Vladimir
Signorelli,
president of boutique investment research firm Bretton Woods Research
LLC in
New Jersey. "Yatsenyuk is the the kind of technocrat you want
if you want
austerity, with the veneer of professionalism," Signorelli said. "He's
the type
of guy who can hobnob with the European elite. A Mario Monti type:
unelected
and willing to do the IMFs bidding," he said. [Mario Monti is
an Italian
"technocrat"--i.e., IMF stooge--who brought austerity to Italy.]
"Yats
had friends in
high places and while he does not have strong support of the
electorate,
and would have no chance of winning an election, he is pro-IMF
austerity and
apparently the bulk of parliament is as well.
"Yatsenyuk
was saying
that what the Greeks did to themselves we are going to do ourselves,"
said
Signorelli. "He wants to follow the Greek economic model. Who the hell
wants to
follow that?" For
economists who think austerity is a disaster,
Ukraine is on a path to ruin.
This
ruin is going to
compound "the scorched earth economics of capitalist restoration"
to
which Ukraine has already been subject. Ukraine now boasts the highest
maternal
mortality rate in Europe, and is the 80th poorest country in the world (based
per capita GDP), behind Iraq and Tonga. Since it became "free" in 1991,
15% of
its population has emigrated, its birth rate declined, and its
population
shrank 11%--classic hallmarks of a moribund and dependent
"third-world" social economy.12
Along
with a lot of
other people, Ukrainians need to recognize that the "endemic and
extraordinary"
corruption of their polity is the necessary
prerequisite
and inevitable result of the restoration of capitalism-- of
the shock-therapy transformation of post-Soviet Ukraine
into a crony-capitalist playground. To turn Ukraine (and the Soviet
Union
itself) into a capitalist society required the creation of creatures
that had
not existed: capitalists . It
required, that is, transferring the industrial "armies" that constitute
the
capital wealth of the country from public ownership (however well- or
poorly-managed) into the hands of private individuals, who can now own
and
control the wealth of the country for their private gain above all.
(You know,
those oligarchs who have managed things so much better over the last
twenty
years.) The only way to do that was by various forms of semi-disguised
theft
that handed industries over--i.e., sold them at bargain-basement
prices--to
various candidates, often functionaries of the old regime, who were
likely to
be compliant with the foreign capital and capitals that were
subsidizing and
pushing this whole process--no matter what the cost to ordinary
Ukrainians. That's
capitalism.
Isn't
"endemic" corruption a structural feature
of capitalism itself? It's quite common in the capitalist world, I've
heard, that
wealthy billionaires capture the political process, functioning as
"what
amounts to a shadow government." You say
"oligarch" and I say "plutocrat." It's also quite common to
think that the
problems of capitalism will be solved by better capitalists enforcing
more
austere capitalism, which will only actually exacerbate inequality,
social
misery, and corruption itself. Let's call
the whole thing off.
But,
again, don't take a socialist's word for
it. Here's
Bogdan Danilishin, a
former minister of economy in Yulia Tymoshenko's government (and a
former
target of "abuse of power" inquiries himself):
In
order to be saved, the Ukrainian economy
doesn't need 35 billion dollars or even 135 billion dollars. It will be
stolen
anyway. They just need to check and evaluate all privatization deals
made
during the last years. All that has been bought for a reduced price or
illegally must be nationalized or the difference must be paid to the
state
budget. All taxes that oligarchs have been exempt from for the last
three years
must be paid.13
Of
course, there's no chance for such a real
reform process. It would require a genuinely democratic
re-nationalization that
would
retrieve the wealth of the
country stolen by the oligarchs, and the neo-liberal government
installed by
this putatively democratic insurrection will
never
consider that. As one commentator wrote on
Investment
Watch:
"The new government might go after a few
oligarchs who ended up on the wrong side of the fence. But those who'd
backed
the uprising directly or indirectly and who are now backing the new
government
would be able to hang on to their property, their ill-gotten wealth,
and their
tax privileges."
14
You
don't have to be a socialist to recognize
the problem. (Only t o solve it.) I have to agree with our Ukrainian
syndicalist,
Denis, that the predominance of what he
calls "bourgeois cultural hegemony," and the displacement of class with
nationalist politics, which makes it so difficult for Ukrainians to see
what's happening in these terms, is "the main problem we should fight
in this
country over next years (or even decades)."
Otherwise, they'll be rearranging the deck chaise longues
of the oligarchs over and over again. Kamikaze
revolutions for kamikaze governments.
Yanukovych
was so authoritarian
One
can certainly say that Yanukovych had
authoritarian tendencies, and that they were getting worse. On January
16th,
in the midst of militant anti-government protests that had been going
on for
two months, he passed a set of harshly repressive anti-protest laws.
Predictably, these laws only further inflamed the rebellion, and most
of them
were repealed or diluted by the parliament on January 28th.
No
question that the Interior Ministry police, Berkut,
were also brutal in their attempts to break up or limit demonstrations
and
occupations. Of course, as we've seen time and time again, repression --
if images thereof are widely broadcast
and insistently framed with outrage -- only builds popular support for
protestors. Protestors' injuries and deaths only intensified the
conflict (particularly
the deaths from sniper fire on February 20th;
more on that later),
drew more people into what was incontestably a massively popular
movement (in Kiev and the western Ukraine, at
least), and intensified protestors' resolve to settle for nothing less
than the
immediate ouster of Yanukovych.
Whether
Yanukovych's police, and attempted
legal, repression was unusually more brutal than that of any president
in any
country, elected or not, who was besieged by a militant movement, no
matter how
popular, seeking his immediate deposition, I'll leave as an open
question. What
is unusual in this instance is that the protestors fought
back, fiercely and from the get-go. They defended their
positions, built strong barricades, prepared for battle, armed
themselves with
everything from makeshift weapon to firearms (as they thought
appropriate), and
did not hesitate to go on the offensive when they could. Beatings, and
bullets,
were flying both ways.
It
was a insurrection in which force trumped electoral and
constitutional legitimacy
Yale
historian Timothy Snyder has taken to Democracy
Now
and the New
York Review of Books
as a leading intellectual voice arguing that American
liberals should wholeheartedly support the Ukrainian "revolution" and
condemn
the Russian "invasion" of Crimea. He
likes to portray the maidan movement
as a kind of utopian, even classical, space of enhanced dialogue, a
place where
liberal-minded Americans watching Amy Goodman can feel right at home:
But
a maidan
now means in Ukrainian what the Greek word agora
means in English: not just a marketplace where people happen to meet,
but a
place where they deliberately meet, precisely in order to deliberate,
to speak,
and to create a political society.15
Pass
the talking stick, Plato.
Well,
yes, revolutionary uprisings -- of which
the Paris Commune has been the socialist prototype, after all -- are,
importantly, that kind of space, the one where people work out how to
build a
new "political society" with their comrades. They are also,
necessarily, this
(circa
Jan 25th):
And
this (circa
Jan 21st):
In the
language of revolution, agora means battlefield.
Do not get
me wrong: I do not present
these images as dispositive evidence that discredits the maidan
protestors. These kinds of forceful actions -- not just
defensive, but aggressive actions that advance
one's position -- are often necessary to fight and win game-changing
political
battles. It is not I who wants to pretend that revolutionary struggles
can
and/or must always be won by purely non-violent means. I find the
methodical
advance of the protestors into the administration building in the first
clip
quite instructive, for example. Their fierce determination to keep
pressing
forward, not resorting to firearms as long as the police don't, but
using every
makeshift weapon they can get their hands on, stripping the police of
their
armor and pulling them out of formation until they break ranks and
retreat --
these people didn't come out to express themselves; they came to fight
and win.
Good for them, depending on what they're
fighting for .
As someone
who finds it insulting to go
to demonstrations in America's most liberal cities, where protestors
are
literally penned in like cattle, I'd just like to ask those Americans
who have
seen what happened to their fellow citizen protestors in Seattle, and
Pittsburgh, and Wall Street: If protestors from Zuccotti, or Central,
or
Lincoln, or Lafayette Park, tried to seize and occupy a nearby civil-administration building, exactly how many inches do you think they
would
advance into that structure, exactly how many cops would they set on
fire,
before they would have the living sh*t beaten out of them? Before any
means that were necessary to stop
them were deployed against them?
And exactly
how many words of praise
and support would American politicians and media personalities have to
say about
them? How many cookies would they be
served?
Yes, the
Ukrainian protestors were
protected by their numbers and by their large base of political
support, which
served to buttress their fierce determination. Mass political strength
is a
powerful weapon. Still, insistent deployment of near-lethal
riot-control agents
and technologies (sound cannons, etc.), let alone concentrated lethal
firepower
from the automatic weapons and tanks of an army, can, at least
temporarily,
overcome even that. Are the Berkut
not as heavily militarized as average American urban police department
have
become? Was the Yanukovych regime reluctant
to employ more heavily militarized police
weaponry, or to call on the army -- whether out of respect for the
people,
respect for the political costs, and/or fear that orders would not be
followed? Is there a high horse here that the American
regime can ride on?
As the more
trenchant intellectual
voice of
Stephen Cohen
puts it:
But let
me ask you, if in Washington
people throwing Molotov cocktails are marching on Congress--and these
people are
headed for the Ukrainian Congress--if these people have barricaded
entrance to
the White House and are throwing rocks at the White House security
guard, would
President Obama withdraw his security forces?.... We wouldn't permit
that in any Western capital, no matter
how righteous the cause.16
Let's not
forget (if by some chance you
were ever made aware) that in the final week of confrontation, it was
the
protest movement, feeling its increasing power, that repeatedly
initiated
violent confrontations to get immediate satisfaction of their demands.
The
latest street violence began Tuesday [February
18th] when protesters
attacked police lines and set fires outside parliament,
accusing Yanukovych
of ignoring their demands to enact constitutional reforms that would
once again
limit the president's power.17
By
Wednesday evening, a truce was
announced, but it:
appeared
to have little credibility among
hardcore protesters. One camp commander, Oleh Mykhnyuk, told the AP even after the
alleged truce, protesters
still threw firebombs at riot police on the square. As the sun rose,
police
pulled back, the protesters followed them and police then began
shooting at
them,
he said.
Who's on
the offensive?
By
Thursday, the 20
th, AP cites
the Ukrainian Health Ministry as saying that "28 people have died and
287 have
been hospitalized this week." In a slightly earlier
report, discussing the
theft by protestors of 1500 guns, RT says that at "At least 26 people,
including 10 police officers, have been killed and some 800 injured
since the
start of violent riots in Kiev on Tuesday."
The AP avoids any mention of police causalities, and avoids any mention
of protestors' firearms. They had them and
can be
seen here using them.
18
On
Thursday, the worst day of violence:
Fearing
that a call for a truce was a
ruse, protesters tossed firebombs and
advanced upon police lines in Ukraine's embattled capital. Government
snipers shot back and the
almost-medieval melee that ensued left at least 70 people dead and
hundreds
injured, according to a protest doctor... In addition, one
policeman was killed Thursday and 28
suffered gunshot wounds.
Snipers.
They seem always to appear at key moments in protests like these,
raining
sudden and arbitrary death from above -- a particularly vicious tactic,
certain
to infuriate the protestors and harden their resolve. The new Interior
Minister
has called the sniper shootings "the key factor in this uprising."
Let's remark
that, despite the figure in the AP article, there was more than "one"
policemen
killed by sniper fire, and, despite the presumption of the AP, as well
as of
Obama and Kerry, it is not all clear that these were "government"
snipers. In
fact, according to what Estonian
Foreign Minister, Urmas Paet,
recounted in a phone
conversation with EU foreign-affairs chief, Catherine Ashton, "What was
quite disturbing, this same Olga [Olga Bogomolets, a doctor on the
maidan]
told that, well, all the
evidence shows that people who were killed by snipers from both sides,
among
policemen and people from the streets, that they were the same snipers
killing
people from both sides.
So
there is a stronger and stronger understanding that behind snipers it
was not
Yanukovych, it was somebody from the new coalition." "Gosh," says
Ashton.
We'll return to the sniper issue later.19
Sure
enough, this violence catalyzed a
political breakthrough, and on Friday, as the AP reported, "a representative
from Russia" as well as the foreign
ministers of France, Germany and Poland--met with "the opposition
leaders," then
with Yanukovych for five hours, then with opposition leaders again, as
US Vice
President Joe Biden "placed repeated calls to both Ukrainian
negotiating
sides."
20 As a result of this intense mediation
a radical new
agreement was worked out that represented the regime's virtually
complete
surrender to the opposition's position. The agreement, which the
Russians did
not like and "pointedly skipped signing," called for a unity
government,
early elections, a return to the 2004 Constitution, and amnesty for
arrested
protestors. As Vladimir Putin
characterized it,
implying his dislike: "I would like to
stress that under that agreement (I am not saying this was good or bad,
just
stating the fact) Mr Yanukovych actually handed over power.
Moreover, he issued orders to withdraw all police forces
from the capital, and they complied."
21
Even a Russian leftist critic of Putin, who came to
the
maidan,
remarked: "The president
even asked the opposition parties to
appoint the prime minister."
22 Furthermore, the
parliament
immediately sealed the deal, enacting laws that would allow for the
release of
Julia Tymoshenko, curb presidential powers, and make it easier to
reverse Yanukovych's
decision about the EU economic agreement that had been the original
catalyst
for the protests.
And, sure
enough, that did not satisfy the protestors either:
Militant
anti-government activists in Ukraine on Saturday
threatened to storm the president's palace and shatter a fragile peace
deal to end the
ex-Soviet country's bloodiest crisis since
independence.
"Elections in
December are not
enough -- he has to leave now," said 34-year-old Oleh Bukoyenko as he
joined 40,000 protesters to hear the peace pact's details announced on
the
square late Friday. One
ultranationalist speaker grabbed the stage
on Independence Square late Friday to call on protesters to
storm the president's
office at 10:00 am (0800 GMT) Saturday should Yanukovych fail
to relinquish
power overnight.
The call was met
with cheers and rounds of applause.
Several top opposition leaders meanwhile were booed for signing the
compromise
agreement allowing Yanukovych to keep his post until snap elections are
called
by the December deadline.
So, by end
of day Saturday, the 22nd,
protestors had taken control of the
presidential administration buildings "without
resistance," and Yanukovych had fled.
Let's put
aside for the moment the
"content" of this protest and uprising, its ultimate political point
and
program, and acknowledge the incontrovertible fact that it was an
extra-legal,
extra-constitutional action that imposed its political will and
achieved its
one immediate goal -- the ouster of Ukraine's elected President -- by
force. It
succeeded by the force of popular pressure and armed resistance and
assault on
the streets of Kiev, helped along greatly by international pressure,
with no
real concern for what was legal or constitutional or electorally
legitimate.
"Coup" is a perfectly reasonable word for what happened, though, in
recognition
of its significant popular base, I prefer to call it an "insurrection."
In Kiev,
with the blessing of virtually
all the world's political and media missionaries of capitalist
democracy, force
trumped elections. This movement deposed a President who had been
chosen in a
2010 election that,
according to
European and NATO observers, "was a good and
competitive election and very promising
for the future of Ukraine's democracy." It was an election in which
there was "a
genuine democratic choice between a large number of candidates," and
"Open
access to information about the candidates and their programmes [that]
allowed
the Ukrainian voters to make a well-founded choice." It was an election
that,
as the NATO representative summarized, "the Ukrainian voters won."
Sounds to me
like an election that was no less "free and fair" than elections held
in these
VoterID-Electoral-College-Florida-Ohio-Citizens-United States.
23
In the
parliament, Yanukovych's Party
of Regions was "the most widely supported Ukrainian political
party hold[ing]
nearly forty percent of the seats in the Rada. No other political party
even
comes close to holding this type of support in the Ukrainian political
landscape
or the Rada."24 Furthermore, this movement
deposed a President in
defiance of the extant constitutional electoral process that had him
facing a
new election in less than a year, an election no one had any reason to
believe
would be less fair than that of 2010 -- especially since, as we saw
above, the
President had effectively ceded all of his effective power before the
movement's final assault. According to the rules of parliamentary
democracy,
the proper way to get rid of a corrupt and despised elected leader is
to vote
the bastard out. If Yanukovych were widely despised, and the Kiev
opposition
widely supported, throughout Ukraine,
he could easily have been removed by electoral means. On the other
hand, it may
not have been quite so easy, and some serious adjustment to the
constitutional-electoral order might have been necessary, precisely
because the
Kiev opposition still has this to contend with this:
Half the
country, it seems, may not be
so joyful about the new adventure in insurrectionary democracy.
To pretend
that the ex-post-facto
parliamentary maneuvers that ratified the result of this insurrection
actually
confer some kind of retroactive constitutional legitimacy on it is
ludicrous.
As Nicolai
Petro points out, these actions
were taken by "a Parliament that rules without any
representation from the majority party -- since most of the deputies of
the east
and the south of the country are afraid to set foot in Parliament"
[and] all
across the country, headquarters of parties are being sacked by their
opponents,"
by a parliament that outlawed the only effective remaining opposition
party
(the Communists) and that "consolidate[ed] the powers of the speaker of
the
Parliament and the acting president in a single individual, giving him
greater
powers than allowed under any Ukrainian constitution," in a context
where "Vigilante
militias routinely attack and disperse public gatherings they
disapprove of."
25
Please, let's recognize these parliamentary acts as what they are -- the
ratification of an insurrection, in defiance of the extant
constitutional
order. Call them the first steps in a new, post-insurrection
constitutional
order if you want, but recognize the radical break they represent.
And why not
call this what it is? Isn't that what revolutionary change is
all
about -- a radical break with the old order? To reprise what I said in
a previous post on
Egypt: An electoral process can be a thin facade of democracy and,
effectively,
a tool of disempowerment, justifying militant extra-electoral politics,
or even
insurrection. A serious revolutionary conjuncture, a real break into a
new
social order, usually involves both. It's an unapologetic, forceful,
seizure of
power that seeks to be definitive and irreversible. (Of course, not
every
insurrection is a revolution, or even a step forward, but let's leave
that
aside for the moment.)
As someone
who accepts the
revolutionary socialist argument, I do not object to extra-legal,
extra-parliamentary, insurrectionary politics per se.
And guess what? All the self-proclaimed liberal,
conservative, moderate, non-violent, constitutional, parliamentary
democratic
thinkers, politicians and commentators who are proudly and loudly
supporting
what happened in Ukraine also do not
object to extra-legal, extra-parliamentary, insurrectionary politics per
se -- they just don't want to admit
it. Like me, they will support an insurrection, depending on
what it's about. Unlike me, they will pretend it
wasn't really an insurrection at all, just another, maybe somewhat
"messy," but
fundamentally non-violent, constitutionally authorized transition
within the
rules of bourgeois parliamentary democracy.
And that's because, as the man said: We
wouldn't permit that in any Western capital, no matter how
righteous the cause.
It's quite
amusing, until it gets sickening,
to watch American leaders--who cling to
the notion that a thin, corrupt, disempowering electoral process
legitimizes
them--embrace the forceful overthrow of a democratically elected leader
in a
functioning parliamentary democracy while insisting they are doing no
such
thing.
Let's
recognize that virtually nobody
really supports or opposes what happened in Ukraine, or anywhere else, because
it was an insurrection, but
because of what kind of insurrection it was -- what its explicit and
implicit
socio-political objective was, what different kind of society and
polity it was
moving toward creating. And let's recognize that the US would denounce,
and
help to crush, any insurrection, no
matter how popular or righteous the cause, in which leftist forces
played
anything close to the prominent fighting role that right-wing,
neo-fascist
forced played in this one. If revolutionary anarcho-syndicalists had
been the
vanguard of the maidan, Yanukovych
would have been America's "democratic" hero.
As for
"democracy" (along with
"nonviolent," one of the most dishonestly abused words in the American
political vocabulary), it certainly does not just mean having an
election. It means power
to the people. Neither Ukrainian oligarchs, nor the EU-IMF
neo-liberal
"technocrats," nor the American government, nor NATO, want that.
They have too much to lose.
It
was a right-wing, imperialist insurrection, powered by
fascist groups and permeated with fascist ideology
The
overthrow of Yanukovych was an
insurrection accomplished by a political movement that was driven by
popular
socio-economic discontent and
thoroughly imbued by "ultranationalist"--i.e., neo-fascist--ideology.
It was
decidedly not a revolution, in
the
strong sense of the word. A revolutionary insurrection marks the
beginning of a
change in the social order. This movement did not, will not, and, given
its
foundations, could not, establish a popular government that will create
anything like more widespread prosperity and deeper democracy, let
alone a new
social order.
It was a
regime change, fueled by
popular discontent, powered by neo-fascist militants, and
surreptitiously
managed by American intelligence diplomats, with Ukrainian oligarchs
maneuvering for ultimate control behind the scenes--factions that have
different,
sometimes internally contradictory, agendas. It will create a
government that
will be controlled by and benefit some Ukrainian oligarchs at the
expense of
others, that will benefit European and American capitalism at the
(acknowledged, indeed promised!) cost of austerity and immiseration for
Ukrainian working people, and that will benefit American and NATO plans
for an
ever-tightening military encirclement of Russia at the expense of
possible war
and perpetual tension for Ukraine.
The only
possibility for a more
serious, "revolutionary" break from neo-liberal standards of
oligarchic-imperial rule in the near future would come from the
neo-fascist
groups, who indeed imagine themselves to have a radically different
agenda. But
guess what? Faced with any popular uprising aga inst its policies, from
the
right or the left, the new neo-liberal, Euro-facing, Russia-hating,
America-loving, Ukrainian government, and its international supporters,
will
trot out the bourgeois democratic principles that its leaders, of
course, never
really contravened, and insist, Berkut
(by any other name) and all: We won't permit that in our
democratic, European
capital, no matter how righteous the cause.
Is there
anybody who honestly doubts
any of this?
For what
we
have in Ukraine is not revolution, but regime change. As for the word
"revolution," its
deployment in Ukraine takes its bastardisation to a new
low: there has of course been no replacement of
one social order by another in Ukraine, or even the instalment of a
people's
government; instead various long-established parties in parliament,
some of
which are deeply unpopular among certain constituencies in Ukraine, are
forming
an interim government. Revolutionary? Hardly.
The
Western debate and coverage "has
certainly made externally
generated regime change seem revolutionary, and the Western-assisted
anti-democratic removal of an elected leader seem like an act of
people's
democracy. It has exposed a severe dearth of
independent critical thinking among the Western
commentariat."
The truth
of what has
happened in Ukraine is this: the EU and Washington have effectively
brought
about regime change, replacing an elected pro-Russian regime with an
unelected,
still-being-formed new government that is more amenable to the
institutions of
the West.26
Regarding
the "fascism" question, Max
Blumenthal's Alternet piece,
and Per Anders Rudling's detailed scholarly study are
indispensable sources. Rudling understates considerably, when he says: "The
far-right
tradition is particularly strong in western Ukraine." The fascist
currents in the Kiev movement are undeniable.
They are represented in the parliament by the Svoboda
(Freedom) Party (originally called the Social National
Party). In December, 2012, the European Parliament condemned Svoboda
for its "racist, anti-Semitic
and xenophobic views," and urged other Ukrainian parties "not to
associate
with, endorse or form coalitions with this party."27
As
Blumenthal
notes, Svoboda's
leader, Oleh Tyahnybok, defines his mission as freeing his country from
the
"Muscovite-Jewish mafia." His deputy, Yuriy Mykhalchyshyn, founded a
think tank
named after a historical figure he admires greatly: The Joseph Goebbels
Political Research Center. Svoboda's -- and, unfortunately, much of
western
Ukraine's -- "nationalism" is embodied in the revered figure of Stepan
Bandera, a
World War II-era Nazi collaborator who led the pro-fascist Organization
of
Ukrainian (OUN), which helped to form a Ukrainian
division of the Waffen SS to fight with the
Nazis against the Soviet Union. From 1942 to 1944,
Yaroslav Stetsko, the "Prime Minister" of ONU-B (Bandera's wing), who
supported
"bringing German methods of exterminating Jewry to Ukraine," oversaw
the
killing of "more than 90,000 Poles and thousands of Jews" in western
Ukraine. Banderists in Lvov circulated a pamphlet telling
the city's Jews: "We will lay your heads at Hitler's feet."28
After the
war, Bandera's Ukrainian
Insurgent Army (UPA) continued its fascist campaign for "a
totalitarian,
ethnically pure Europe," engaging in a futile armed struggle against
the Soviet
Union, until KGB agents assassinated him in Munich in 1959. Nothing
"neo" about
this Nazi.
Viktor
Yushchenko, the president
produced by the last American-supported Ukrainian uprising, the "Orange
Revolution," put the full weight of the ideological apparatus of the
Ukrainian
state into reinventing the history of Ukrainian complicity with Nazism
into a
"national liberation" mythology. He "tasked a set of nationalistically
minded historians"
into "disseminating a sanitized, edifyingly patriotic version of the
history of
the 'Ukrainian national liberation movement,' the leaders of which were
presented in iconographic form as heroic and saintly figures, martyrs of
the
nation."
Thus, in
2010, against the protestation
of the
European
Parliament--which
he accused of having a "
historical
complex"--Yushchenko
awarded Stepan Bandera the title of
"Hero of Ukraine."
29 As Rudling notes: "There
was little
protest from intellectuals who identify themselves as liberals." It was
the
government of big, bad Yanukovych that later annulled the award.
And thus,
still satisfied by their
political research, Svoboda led a 1 5,000-person march in honor of
Bandera in
Kiev on January 1 st of this year, with chants of
"Ukraine above all"
and "Bandera, come and bring order!" 30
Now,
as a result of the insurrection, Svoboda, which won about
10% of the vote in the last election, has
effectively muscled the much
larger (34% of the last vote) Party of the Regions out of parliament,
and seeks
nationally to outlaw it and the Communist Party (13% of the vote),
whose
leader's house was burned down. With the help of its Right Sector
allies, these
parties have already been banned in a number of regions. Svoboda now
holds "key
leadership positions in the parliament and law enforcement, four
ministerial
portfolios in the new government [including Prosecutor General and
Deputy Prime
Minister] and several appointed governorships." Svoboda's
co-founder, Andriy Parubiy, is head of the National
Security & Defense Council of the new, democratic, government
of Ukraine.31
So, fourteen months
after denouncing
Svoboda for its "racism,
anti-Semitism and xenophobia," European
governments are gushing over the new "democracy" in Ukraine over which
Svoboda
presides. And, as the BBC reports: "Inside the columned central hall of
Kiev's
city council, an activist base of operations, hung a giant banner with
a Celtic
cross, a symbol of 'white power,' and an American confederate flag, and
an immense
portrait of Stepan Bandera."
32
Keep
in mind, too, Rudling's point that
the whole Banderist "national liberation" narrative" was
well received in western Ukraine but was received
coldly or
met open
hostility in the eastern and southern parts of the country. "
As
Svoboda
represents fascism in the parliament, Right Sector (
Pravy
Sektor) represented fascism in the
maidan,
and continues to do so with its intimidating tactics in the
streets and administrative offices of Kiev and the regions, as well as
from its
new positions in government. Right Sector is a confederation of
far-right groups
such as Patriots of Ukraine, the Social-National Assembly, White
Hammer, Stepan
Bandera's Trident, and the Ukrainian National Assembly-Ukrainian
People's
Self-Defense (UNA-UNSO). Their favorite ensign is the
wolfsangel,
a favorite, too, of the Waffen SS, which was on display
all over the
maidan:
As
Ukrainian journalist
Oleg
Shynkarenko points out, Right Sector
leader Dmytro Yarosh defines the group's creed
thusly: "We are against degeneration and totalitarian liberalism, but
we
support traditional morals and family values, against the cult of
profit and
depravity." Right Sector's websites rail against the "liberal
homodictatorship"
of modern Western society.
33 Blumenthal points
out that Right Sector
is: "linked to a constellation of international neo-fascist parties,"
and "through
the
Alliance of
European National Movements
(AEMN), Right Sector is promising to lead its army of aimless,
disillusioned
young men on "
a great
European Reconquest'." In
some ways, the
neo-fascist right
does want power to
the people--just the morally and ethnically pure people.
BBC did a
decent report on the "
Neo-Nazi threat
in new Ukraine." Again,
maybe not so
"neo." The reporter, Gabriel Gatehouse, interviews Svoboda and Right
Sector
militants, meets a group called C14 (apparently an armed wing of
Svoboda) under
a portrait of Lenin in the Communist Party headquarters they had taken
over,
and shows two Svoboda MPs displaying "14" and "88" tokens. These
numbers, which
are often displayed in combination, and which appeared in graffiti
throughout
the
maidan, have special fascist
significance: "14" stands for from the
Fourteen Words coined
by an American white supremacist: "We must secure the
existence of our people and a future for White
children" (there's an alternate version, about "the White Aryan
woman"); "88"
represents a double of the eighth letter of the Latin alphabet, HH, for
Heil
Hitler. [I cannot make this stuff up.]
Yes, it
depends what you're fighting for.
My favorite
is this
2-minute tidbit from a young
Right Sector gentleman, explaining the group's, and his, affinity for
"National
Socialist themes," and assuring his interviewer that they want a
society that's
just "a little bit like" that "under Hitler":
The leader
of the Right Sector, Dmytro
Yarosh, is now the deputy head of the National Security Council, and is
running
for President, of Ukraine's new, democratic, government.
You might
also take a look at
this video, where Right
Sector leader Aleksandr Muzychko roughs up a local prosecutor to show
him who's
the boss now, and threatens to have him lynched:
"Shut the
f*ck up, you
b*tch! Your f*cking time is over" If you think I am goodie because I've
come
without my rifle, you are gravely mistaken. I've come with a pistol."
There
are a few choice videos of Muzychko, who is also
identified as a member of the
"Wiking" unit of the Ukrainian National Assembly -- Ukrainian
People's Self-Defense (UNA-UNSO), another post-Banderist right-wing
paramilitary group.
So there's
no question that fascists
were part of the insurrection, and there is no question that they were
crucial
to its success. As
Oleg Shynkarenko insists,
the scenes of fighting resistance and advance were led by Right Sector
and
allied groups:
[I]t was
the far right that first started to
talk back to Yanukovych in his own language. They were the first to
throw
Molotov cocktails and stones at police and to mount real and
well-fortified
barricades. They were amongst those who burned two military troop
carriers that
attacked the barricades on February 18. The Euromaidan won thanks to
the
resoluteness of people who were ready to fight rather than to negotiate
in
parliament when any negotiation became pointless.
Nicolai Petro agrees,
and points out the political ramifications:
I ascribe
a much greater role to the Right
Sector, the spearhead of the revolution. [T]he actual coup was
accomplished
thanks to the armed intervention of extreme nationalists, led by the
Right
Sector. And the fact that they were so instrumental in accomplishing
this
change of power has put them in the driver's seat. From now on,
whatever
political decisions are arrived at will really be at the sufferance of
the
Right Sector.
Let's be
clear, also, that these
neo-fascist groups not only fought and defeated Yanokovych's police,
they
attacked and drove away any political group from the left that tried to
establish a presence in the maidan.
The fascists made sure they controlled the radical politics of the
square.
Sascha, a member of AntiFascist Action Ukraine, a group that monitors
and
fights fascism in Ukraine, recounts in an interview
published in mid-February:
A group
of 100 anarchists tried to arrange their
own self-defense group, different Anarchist groups came together for a
meeting
on the Maidan. While they were meeting a group of Nazis came in a
larger group,
they had axes and baseball bats and sticks, helmets, they said it was
their
territory. They called the Anarchists things like Jews, blacks,
Communists.
There weren't even any Communists, that was just an insult. The
Anarchists
weren't expecting this and they left. People with other political views
can't
stay in certain places, they aren't tolerated. 34
And Mira,
of the same group, adds:
One of
the worst things is that Pravy
has this official structure. They are coordinated. You need passes to
go
certain places. They have the power to give or not give people
permission to be
active. We're trying to be active but we have to avoid Nazis, and I'm
not going
to ask a Nazi for permission!...
Early on a
Stalinist tent was attacked by Nazis. One
was sent to the hospital. Another student spoke
out against fascism and he was attacked.
Pravy Sektor got
too much attention after the first violence, the media gave
them popularity and they started to think they're cool guys. Pravy
existed
before but now it's growing and attracting a lot of new
people.
Ilya
Budraitskis, a
Russian Socialist
who came to the maidan in January, tells
us
how the "ultranationalists" brutalized and evicted everyone
from leftish Europhiles to anarchists:
Another
part of the left repetitively
tried to join the movement, even after they were repetitively kicked
out of
it. Some of the "euro-enthusiastic"
leftists came to Maidan in
November with red (instead of blue)
flag of the EU, with banners for free healthcare and education, and
with
feminist slogans. They were brutally attacked by Nazis. Then there was
an
episode when the far-right attacked the tent of the Confederation of
Free Trade
Unions of Ukraine near the Maidan. A man on
the stage said that
there were some "provocateurs" and said that "men know what to do"; as
a
result, a mob of Nazis has broken ribs of the trade union activists,
tore their
tent with knives and stolen their property. The victims hadn't been
doing
anything "leftist" per se, but they were members of the left movement,
known to
their political adversaries, and that was enough.
[T]here is also
another group of people
who are often confused with the radical left who call themselves
anarchists
but actually have a very conservative political agenda full of machismo
and
xenophobia. After the protests have begun, they shifted to the right
dramatically; they reached truce with the nazi groups and showered
Molotov
cocktails at the police together. Eventually, they parted ways with
left
movement finally.
A week ago they,
together with some actual leftists
who wanted to "act", decided to form an "anarchist sotnia" [defense unit] in
the Maidan self-defence. In order to do
that, they were prepared to
give an oath to [Svoboda leader] Andriy
Parubiy. But when they formed their ranks to do this, they were met by
approximately 150 Svoboda fighters
with baseball bats and
axes. The fascists accused them of being racially impure and
politically
irrelevant and forced them out of Maidan. 35
So much for
Professor Snyder's agora.
Of course,
the great majority of the
people in the square are not fascists, but, for all the reasons of
history and
ideology discussed above, a lot of people in western Ukraine are
susceptible to
their charms. As Denis, from Kiev Autonomous
Workers Union, says: " [I]n the long run
the rightist political hegemony is being reinforced,"
because "That's what happens when you don't have a developed left
movement and
your liberals are too corrupt and ugly!" Here's how he
describes the rightward political momentum on the maidan:
[Far
right]
ideology has really become more acceptable in the mainstream (which had
initially been leaning to the right!). ... Of
course, most protesters really say they want
political pluralism, bourgeois democracy. But at the same
time the crowd at the Maidan revives
some deeply buried pre-modern, medieval social practices like whipping
post,
lynching, reinforced traditional gender roles. This scary readiness to
slip
into barbarism is born from the general disenchantment with
parliamentary
politics and the ubiquitous nationalist mythology about the golden
past,
imposed in schools and media.
The original
Euromaidan agenda in
November was a right liberal one, standing for the EU, "economic
liberties" and
bourgeois democracy. But even then the issues of multiculturalism, LGBT
rights,
workers' rights and freedoms were severely repressed by the politically
conscious
far-right activists [whose] political programme had always included
critique
of the EU's "liberal fascism". The
attackers didn't represent the majority of protesters, but the majority
was
very susceptible to their political agenda which they had been
aggressively
pushing through.
[P]eople
are new to politics, they
just
"know" they are rightists and
nationalists. And therefore they trust the more politically experienced
leaders
to express their views and formulate their programme for them. It just
so
happens that those leaders are nationalists or even Nazis. And they
shift the
centre of the political discourse even further to the right.
But,
first of
all, their ideas are welcome among the apolitical crowd; second of all,
they
are very well organized, and also people love their "radicalism". An
average
Ukrainian worker hates the police and the government but he will never
fight
them openly and risk his comfort. So he or she welcomes a "vanguard"
which is
ready to fight on their behalf; especially if that vanguard shares
"good"
patriotic values. And since the basic
"common
sense" had long ago been established on the nationalist fundamental
assumptions, the radicalization goes only further in that direction.36
As we all
know, fascists don't have to
be a majority to determine outcomes, and their power to do so can
increase very
quickly under favorable conditions. Perhaps
the most telling and disturbing remark of the leftists cited in these
interviews was this, from Sascha of AntiFascist Action
Ukraine, a couple
of weeks before the head of Right Sector became deputy head of the
National
Security and Defense Council: "If
Pravy [Right Sector] has positions in a new government that would be
really
dangerous but that isn't possible, they aren't powerful enough."
Oh, yes
they
are. Consider the stunning turn of events we have just witnessed: "the
ascension of a genuinely fascist mass movement into the corridors of
power" in
a European country for the first time since WWII, greeted with a
stunning
nonchalance--nay, embraced as an exemplar of democracy--by the Western
liberal
democracies. University of
Ottawa political scientist Ivan Katchanovski
specifies: "The paramilitary
right sector has de
facto power at least in some Western Ukrainian regions," and "The far
right in
Ukraine has now achieved the level of representation and influence that
is
unparalleled in Europe."
37
Then
imagine,
please, Professor Katchanovski's last sentence with "left" substituted
for
"right," and consider how unthinkable it is that any American
government would
be so welcoming of such a "democratic" outcome. The United States and
its
allied liberal democracies are, in other words, willing to accommodate
very
hard swings to the right in order to secure and/or extend the
neo-liberal
capitalist, and US/NATO imperialist, order, but will abide not an inch
of
movement toward resistance from the left--no matter how righteous or
democratic
the cause.
The
"liberal-nationalist" alliance, the
American role, and what it portends
Might we interrupt the
rejoicing over the rebirth of democracy in Ukraine to ask: Have the US
and
European governments given a thought to how their embrace of a
government including
Svoboda and Right Sector in Ukraine implicitly legitimizes and
emboldens the
far-right and neo-Nazi movements in Britain, and France, and Sweden,
et al.? Because those
movements have.38 Ukraine now has a
government that is, as Eric Draitser puts it,
"essentially a
collaboration between pro-EU liberals and right wing
ultra-nationalists."
Israel Shamir is on to something, when he remarks that "a union of
[right-wing] nationalists and liberals" has become "the trademark of a
new US policy in the
Eastern Europe." As he reminds us: "[L]iberals do not have to support
democracy. They do so only if they are
certain democracy will deliver what they want. Otherwise, they can join
forces
with al Qaeda as now in Syria, with Islamic extremists as in Libya,
with the
Army as in Egypt, or with neo-Nazis, as now in Russia and the Ukraine."39
Or, as Pepe Escobar puts it:
Everyone
remembers the
"good Taliban", with which the U.S. could negotiate
in
Afghanistan. Then came the "good al-Qaeda", jihadis the US could
support in Syria. Now come the "good neo-nazis", with which the West
can do business in Kiev. Soon there will be "the good jihadis
supporting
neo-nazis", who may be deployed to advance U.S./NATO and
anti-Russian
designs in Crimea and beyond.40
Lest one
think this is a fanciful compilation, be aware that Right Sector leader
and new
deputy head of the National
Security and Defense Council, Dmitry
Yarosh, has called upon Caucasian jihadi,
Doku Umarov, to "support Ukraine now," "to activate his
fight" against Russia, and "take
a unique chance to win." Doku Umarov calls himself "Emir
of the Caucasus Emirate". He has claimed responsibility for attacks
that killed
dozens of Russian civilians--including the 2010 Moscow Metro bombings
and the
2011 Domodedovo International Airport bombing. He is on the UN Security
Council's Al-Qaeda and Taliban Sanctions list, and the US government
has a posted
a $5 million reward for information leading to his capture.41
It does get
confusing. The frenemy of my frenemy, or something like that.
This has
become a formula, and a favorite part of it involves street protests
that begin
as democratically-inspired movements against corruption and/or
authoritarianism, and turn sharply violent when the standard scenario
of
water-cannon and tear-gas police repression vs. rock- and
Molotov-throwing
protestors gets brutally escalated by something like snipers.
Snipers are
a
vicious weapon. I think whoever is responsible for their use in the maidan
protests deserves the world's
condemnation. I also know that nobody knows who is responsible, and no
one
should accept the pure assumption that they were "government"
snipers. The leaked Estonian foreign minister's phone
call, mentioned above, which raised the "stronger and stronger
understanding
that behind snipers ... was somebody from the new coalition," has cast
widespread doubt on the "government-sniper" assumption.
According
to
the
AP, the new Interior
Minister, Arsen
Avakov, asserts: "I can say only one thing: the key factor in this
uprising, that spilled blood in Kiev and that turned the country upside
down
and shocked it, was a third force. And this force was not Ukrainian."
Commanders
of police sniper units have denied receiving orders to shoot anyone,
and the
new Deputy Interior Minister seems to believe them. Imputing a rather
complicated motive, he thinks the sniper shootings were "intended to
generate a
wave of revulsion so strong that it would topple Yanukovych and also
justify a
Russian invasion." The new Health Minster thinks Russian special forces
were
involved.
42
An American
analyst, on the other hand,
claims that, "According
to veteran US
intelligence sources, the snipers came from an ultra-right-wing
military
organization known as Ukrainian National Assembly -- Ukrainian People's
Self-Defense (UNA-UNSO)."
43
One might also keep in mind
the hacked emails of opposition
leader Vitaly
Klitschko, leaked by Anonymous Ukraine (or Russian intelligence),
discussing
plans for "destabilization," "radical escalation," and the arrival of
"colleagues" whose "services may be required":
"Our
American friends promise to pay a visit
in the coming days, we may even see [Victoria] Nuland or
someone from the Congress."
12/7/2013
"Your
colleague has arrived. His services may be required even after the
country is
destabilized." 12/14/2013
"I think we've
paved the way
for more radical escalation of the situation. Isn't it time
to proceed
with more decisive action?" 1/9/201444
Every
scenario is crazy in one way or another, including the one in which the
Yanukovych
government, ignoring all the clear lessons of recent history regarding
the
effects of sniper fire during protests, stupidly thought that killing
protestors and policemen would calm the waters. I hope those who are
responsible for the sniper attacks are identified and punished, and I
do not
rule out any possibility. The Russians claim to want the same thing,
and
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov has called for a full OSCE
(Organisation for
Security and Cooperation in Europe) investigation, which, Russian UN
ambassador
Vitaly Churkin insists, would draw "a completely different picture
"compared
to what is being depicted by American media." Let's see if there is a
real
investigation, and who will support it. In the meantime, we should
remember the
Syrian chemical attack, and refuse any argument for aggressive action
based on
a false assertion of certainty about who is responsible for this.
45
Let's also
take a look at the role of the US in the Ukrainian
liberal-"ultra-nationalist"
alliance, keeping in mind what I said above about all the actors in
this drama
having different,
sometimes clashing, and
sometimes internally contradictory, agendas.
The point
is not that the US controlled
everything in the Ukrainian uprising. It
does not control as much as it thinks, and, as we've seen repeatedly,
it often
gets surprised when it gets what it asked for. It already has been
surprised in
this case, as we'll discuss below. But the US, especially when acting
in
concert with its allies, can significantly affect the course and
outcome of
events. It has enormous powers, and uses them relentlessly, in public
and
private, to get what it wants. Not least of these powers is its
ability,
through its influence on ubiquitous Western media outlets, to withhold
and
confer a sense of legitimacy. It did just that in Ukraine, with
considerable
success.
Brendan
O'Neill makes the incontrovertible point:
The
regime change that occurred [in Ukraine] would have been unthinkable
without something else, without an additional force - outside pressure...
[Western
governments] both undermined the
legitimacy of the Yanukovich regime and conferred political and moral
authority
on to the protest camps. They did this firstly through issuing
statement after statement over the past three months about the
out-of-touchness
of Yanukovich, and secondly
through imbuing the protest camps effectively with the right
to rule
Ukraine. The camps were visited by leading European and American
politicians,
who told the protesters theirs was a "just cause" and that they have "a
very
different vision for the country" to Yanukovich -- a better one, of
course. The
consequence of such "mediation" (meddling) was to isolate Yanukovich
and embolden the protesters, creating the space for
anti-Yanukovich politicians to manoeuvre themselves into positions of
power.
Let's
recall the name of arch-neocon
Victoria Nuland (wife of arch-neocon Robert Kagan), Assistant US
Secretary of State for Europe and Eurasia, whose
leaked "f*ck the EU!"
conversation
with the American ambassador in Ukraine brought her out of the shadows
as the
behind-the-scenes point person for US management of the Ukrainian
"revolution."
In
December,
2013, after her third trip to Ukraine
in five weeks (including the one where she passed out cookies to
maidan
protestors), Nuland reminded a
meeting of the
International
Business Conference that the US "had 'invested' more than $5 billion
and
'five
years' worth of work and
preparation' in achieving what
she called Ukraine's 'European aspirations.'" She also said
she "made it
'absolutely clear' to Yanukovych that the US required 'immediate steps' to
'get back into conversation with Europe and the IMF.'" As Renee Parsons
puts it, it was
" As
if [Nuland was] intent on providing incontrovertible
evidence of US involvement in Ukraine."
46
In regard
to
the leaked phone conversation, American media focused on the Nuland's
salty
language, but the more important substantive point of her remarks, as
Peter Lee
points out, "was that Nuland
was calling for the
EU to be sidelined because it was not being sufficiently aggressive on
the
issue of threatening pro-Russian figures with sanctions." She also
wanted the
more popular Vitalyi Klitschko and
Svoboda
leader Oleh Tiahnybok to step
aside and allow the more "economically experienced" (i.e.,
IMF-friendly) Arsenyi Yatsenyuk to take the leading role in the new
Ukrainian
government. She also specifies the supporting role the UN is being
assigned. She got everything she asked for.
47
Nobody who
hears this tape can credibly
deny that the United States, through Nuland, was intimately involved in
micro-managing the outcome of this independent, nationalist, Ukrainian
movement:
Yats is
the guy that who's got the economic
experience the governing experience he's the ... what he needs is Klitsch
and
Tiahnybok on the outside he needs to be talking to them four times a
week you
know.
Ok. He's
now gotten both [Dutch
diplomat Robert] Serry and Ban ki-Moon to agree that Serry could come
in Monday
or Tuesday. That would be great I think to help glue this thing and to
have the
UN help glue it and, you know, f*ck the EU.
But anyway we could
land jelly side up
on this one if we move fast.48
[all quotes from
Nuland]
Throughout
the
crisis, the US was pushing hard for the EU to take punitive measures
against
the Ukrainian government, and to impose sanctions on its key officials
and
oligarchical backers. Peter Lee
describes Nuland's strategy as an effort "to remove the initiative in
Ukraine
negotiations out of the hands of Germany and the EU." He
speculates--reasonably,
I think--that this had to do with accommodating the American military,
as well
as the neo-liberal economic, agenda: "Victoria Nuland, in allegiance to
her
neo-con roots, aggressively facilitated a government that was
simultaneously
pro-US, anti-Russian, and non-EU-oriented and would therefore see no
problem
with facilitating a cherished US objective--evicting the Russian Black
Sea Fleet
from Crimea." The Germans were certainly pissed off about the
high-handed American attitude.
49
So the
Americans may have been attempting
a delicate triangulation, in which the hard anti-Russian sentiment of
the
ultranationalist Ukrainian right was instrumental for their military
agenda,
without being so obvious as to lose any support of less confrontational
Euro-liberal parties.
But they
may have been too clever by a
third.
Let's put
aside for a moment the fact
that Russia saw what was going on, and acted pre-emptively to stop it.
The
scent of brewing trouble between Ukrainian neo-fascists and their
cosmopolitan
patrons in the Euro-American politico-economic elite wafts forth from
Right
Sector's rejection of the "cult of profit and depravity" as well as
what the
English captions of their video clumsily describe as "any integrations
on terms
that dictates not Ukraine." The Ukrainian right, embodied in both
Svoboda and
Right Sector, is, after all,
ultra-nationalist,
and has a very good idea of the national serfdom that awaits Ukraine in
the EuroAmerican-IMF
neo-liberal global village. Ukrainian rightists, too, are ready to say
"f*ck
the EU!" They want Ukraine to be a strong, morally and ethnically pure,
a brick
in the wall of the GRE--the
Great
European Reconquest.
Both the
EU
and USA want reliable (and pliable) capitalist politicians in
Parliament and
the Ukrainian government. That means politicians who will follow their
economic
policies and integrate the Ukraine into the western economic orbit. In
other
words, politicians that respond correctly when threats to freeze their
personal
assets in Switzerland and Luxembourg are raised, as has been the case
in the
days immediately preceding February 20.
The west's gamble
is their
hope they can exclude the radical, ultranationalist and proto-fascist
forces on
the ground that served as the battering ram to bust down the door of
the Yanukovych
regime; or at least minimize their influence in the government. But
that task
that will not prove so easy, they may find.50
The
far-right
has its claws deep in the new political order in Ukraine. After all, it
considers that it has
the right to rule.
It may not be so easy to co-opt or push aside, and it is capable of
causing a
lot of trouble.
Of course,
the more astute neo-fascist leaders will make various purring sounds to
persuade their anxious Euro-American patrons that they can play nice.
Thus, as
Blumenthal recounts, Svoboda leader Oleh Tyahnybok--eager to
deflect any notion
that their anti-"Muscovite Jew" Banderist ideology has anything to do
with anti-Semitism,
and knowing that there's no better way to please the American
government than
to show one's belly to Israel--recently
hosted the
Israeli Ambassador to Ukraine.
In what, for those who have a "historical complex," is one of the
saddest of
ironic moments, Tyahnybok appealed for solidarity thusly: "I would
like to ask Israelis to also respect our patriotic feelings. Probably
each
party in the [Israeli] Knesset is nationalist. With God's help, let it
be this
way for us too." Birds of an ultranationalist feather, and all.
51
The
showdown
will likely come, however, over whether the neo-fascist right will be
tame
enough to roll over for the IMF-friendly neo-liberal oligarchs and
their
political henchpersons. To prepare for the eventualities, the US and
friends
will want to shower the interim government with beefed-up police
equipment and
training, in order to make sure that no street protest can get anywhere
near
the traction of the maidan of the
last few months. You know, to protect the now-democratic (unelected)
government
against an undemocratic popular insurrection.
On the
other
hand, as Julie Hyland
reports, the far right is
now entrenching
control of its own national military force, in the form of a
60,000-strong
National Guard, "recruited from 'activists' in the anti-Russian
protests and
from military academies." This force was just established by the
Ukrainian
parliament, and will be overseen by Svoboda's own Andriy Parubiy.
52
Ukraine's
neo-fascist right may have been a tad too well nourished on Victoria's
baked
goods, and the US's neo-liberal plans may not get swallowed so easily.
These
guys are ready to fight. They may be inclined to be independent of, and
resistant to, an EU-IMF agenda. The Russian reaction in the Crimea has
already
taken the US off-guard, and the new armed forces of the Ukrainian right
can now
create a lot of trouble throughout the Ukraine, which could provoke the
wider
conflict with Russia that they are itching for, and that Europe, and
even the
US, can ill afford.
I've got no
happy ending. As I said above, possible war and perpetual tension is
what's in
store for the Ukraine. And America's cookies may land jelly-side down.
Russia
and Crimea
I hold no
love for Russia under Putin, although I do not consider him the
comic-book
villain he is now being cast as. Russia has its own problems with
post-Soviet
oligarchic capitalism and a confused nationalist mythology. The
re-annexation
of Crimea is a dangerous gambit, and arguably, but not certainly (see
below),
in contravention of international law. Nothing here to celebrate.
It's also
true that, in this situation, the US is being hoisted on its own petard
of
utter disregard for what I
previously
called "the
carefully-constructed and delicate post-war
architecture of international law and institutions." It's the United
States (along
with its ward state, Israel) that has routinely ignored issues of
national
sovereignty and international law, at the cost of hundreds of thousands
of
lives, over decades--and have suffered no sanction for doing so. Their
actions,
more than anything else, have rendered the always-fragile construct of
international law practically a dead letter. You can't bomb and/or
invade
Lebanon, Cuba, Vietnam, the Dominican Republic, Panama, Serbia, Iraq,
Libya,
et al., to install your favored government (all but one thousands of
miles
from your territory), and then stand in politico-moral judgement over
another
country's incursion into and recapture of a contiguous region that had
been
part of its national territory until 1954.
Especially
when that happens with the consent of the people in that territory,
and
without a single casualty. Neither the Russians, who lost 20 million
people to
fascism in WWII, nor the Crimeans (Crimea being part of Russia at the
time),
have any mythologized confusions about fascist historical heroes, or
any reason
not to fear and reject the resurgent fascism at the door. Western
countries, in
fact, could use a little of that anxiety.
In the
global
context they have created, American leaders can't think they'll be
taken
seriously when they say: "You just don't in the 21st century behave in
19th-century fashion by invading another country on completely trumped-up
pretext."
Furthermore,
US foreign policy since the fall of the Soviet Union has been
particularly
contemptuous of Russia. Bush I promised Mikhail Gorbachev that the US
would not
expand NATO to take in the Eastern European and Baltic states, and he,
Clinton,
and Bush II proceeded to do just that. They took it for granted that
Russia--under the leadership of their corrupt and drunken stooge,
Yeltsin, and
economically devastated by the American-led shock-therapy restoration
of
capitalism--could do nothing. With his war on Russia's close ally, Serbia,
Bill Clinton (proving that NATO never was a
defensive alliance) announced that, henceforth, NATO was free to attack
any country
on Earth--its concept of right trumping the United Nations' process and
all
other notions of international law; he, too, presumed Russia could do
nothing
about it. In Libya, the US lied to get the Russians (and Chinese) to
vote for a
"humanitarian" mission, and then blatantly disregarded the terms of the
UN
resolution and bombed the crap out of Libya for the purpose of "regime
change"--assuming Russia could do nothing about it. G. W. Bush and Obama
have
pushed NATO forward more aggressively, and moved to station "missile
defenses"
in Eastern Europe that everyone with half a brain, and certainly
Russia, knows
are weapons designed to enable US first-strike capability--taking for
granted
that Russia could do nothing about it.
Well,
today,
in Crimea, Russia--which has every reason to suspect US/NATO plans for
Ukraine
and for its only warm-water port--can do something about it. It's not
something
very nice, but nor is it a hundredth as destructive as what the United
States
has been doing, or certainly would do in the same
circumstance. Putin can
cite the Obama
administration's own
statement to the UN International Court on Kosovo:
"Declarations
of
independence may, and often do, violate domestic legislation. However,
this
does not make them violations of international law." End of
quote. They wrote this, disseminated it all over the
world, had everyone agree and now they are outraged. Over what? The
actions of
Crimean people completely fit in with these instructions, as it were.53
And he can
then go all Victoria Nuland on the US. There's really nothing the US
can do, or
even credibly say, about it. Fortunately, nobody has the stomach for
war.
Like a lot
of
us, the Russians may have thought something else was possible after the
break-up of the Soviet Union. But, for the past twent y-some years, the
United
States was content to ignore international law, and re-create that
Great Power
world in which one country could invade another country on completely
trumped-up pretext--because it took for granted that it was the only
Great
Power.
No happy
ending, for Americans or Ukrainians. It's a very dangerous world we now
live in;
somebody could get the stomach. It
was Bush, Clinton, Bush, and Obama who created this world. The Russians
have
only decided they're going to live in it. And so will we all.
Notes
and Links
11 Economist ,
op. cit.
12 Hyland,
op. cit.
A lot of
Ukrainians like to convince
themselves that, as one of the January demonstrators insisted, "Bandera
never was on the Germans' side," and that he was just about national
independence. They'll cite the fact that he was imprisoned by the
Germans in
1941, when his faction of the OUN (OUN-B) "came to control the OUN's
Ukrainian
Insurgent Army (UPA) and declared an independent Ukrainian state " as a
satellite of Nazi Germany," which apparently was a little too assertive
(or
perhaps oxymoronic) for the Germans. But
Bandera was back in German favor by 1944, and actually "set up a
headquarters
in Berlin and oversaw the training of Ukrainian insurgents by the
German army."
Bandera's "younger and more radical" OUN faction (ONU-B) was somewhat
more
ambivalent about the Ukrainian Waffen SS division than the "older, more
moderate" (OUN-M) of Andriy Melnyk, but the ONU-B "did not interfere in
i[the
division's] formation and once the division was formed it sent some of
its
members, a number of whom would obtain prominent positions." Both
factions of
the ONU "were enthusiastically committed to a new fascist Europe." And
it was
the UPA, under Bandera's "top deputy and acting "Prime Minister,'"
Yaroslav
Stetsko, that "killed tens of thousands of Poles in 1942-44." The
Organization
of Ukrainian Nationalists portrayed Russians, Poles, Hungarians and
Jews -- most
of the minorities in western Ukraine -- as aliens and encouraged locals
to
destroy "Poles and Jews." All this goes to show is that Bandera was as
ardently
racist and anti-Semitic as he was nationalist. Ukrainians who imagine
that
Bandera was not an outright fascist are kidding themselves. It's a
little like
believing that Confederate statesmen weren't really racists, just
proponents of
"states' rights." Read the
Per Anders
Rudling article to get the full
flavor of it.
The French
were responsible for a
vicious imperial occupation of Vietnam. Nonetheless, when given the
easy
opportunity, Ho Chi Minh did not confuse an alliance with Japanese
"fellow-Asian"
imperialism with a worthy strategy for Vietnamese nationalism. Stalin's
many
horrible crimes committed against Ukraine (at the same time he was
murdering
thousands of Russian revolutionaries) are no excuse for a nationalism
that
wants to lay the heads of Jews, and prostrate itself, at Hitler's feet.
36 Ibid.
37 Shynkarenko, op.
cit.
52 Hyland, op.
cit.
53 Address by
President of the Russian Federation - Putin Slams West, Calls
For End to "Cold War Rhetoric'