As things stand, there is a good chance that Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives in 2022, thanks in large part to gerrymandering and to changes in election laws in Republican states.
One recent poll suggests that up to 2/3rds of Republican voters believe that the 2020 election was stolen, and about 30% of Republicans believe that violence may be needed to fix the injustice. (Source: Newsweek)
Furthermore, the Republicans are laying the groundwork for stealing the presidential election in 2024, as described in The Atlantic, The New York Times and elsewhere.
This leads me to propose the following:
Protecting voting rights and stopping Republicans from winning in 2022 and 2024 trump every other issue, because the GOP is quasi-fascist and if they win, we lose on every other issue.
Consequently, though I care deeply about climate change, income inequality, peace activism, minority rights, LGBT rights, and women's rights, what takes precedence is stopping Republicans and protecting voting rights.
The situation is dire and we need to be selective about expending time and efforts on other priorities. As in a game of chess, we may need to make some painful sacrifices, individually and communally.
For example, though I detest the policies of some hawkish, corporate Democrats, we may need to direct our efforts at holding onto the House rather than challenging said Democrats in primaries. Certainly we shouldn't challenge Democrats in swing districts unless they're particularly horrible.
This next example is trickier. I deeply want Build Back Better to be signed into law, and passing it would help Democrats win in 2022 and 2024. But I think that protecting voting rights is a higher priority. So, if I had to choose between passing Build Back Better and passing bills to protect voting rights (e.g., the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act), I would choose the latter. Ideally, we could pass both.
No matter who wins in 2024, there is likely to be civil unrest, especially if the election is close. The left needs to prepare for that outcome. Thing is ... if progressive activists turn out in large numbers on the streets, they'll be met with large contingents of (armed) right wing activists. It is difficult to see how the country can be saved from disaster.
Rays of hope
Business Insider reports that Fringe factions of MAGA world are imploding after Trump publicly advocated for the COVID-19 vaccine. Donald Trump was booed during a speech because he asked the audience to vaccinate. Conspiracy theorist and InfoWars talk-show host Alex Jones and the recently subpoenaed "Stop the Steal" organizer Ali Alexander have both condemned Trump's stance.
Likewise, Republicans Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger are cooperating with Democrats to hold Trump accountable, via the House committee investigating the Jan 6 insurrection. The Atlantic had an article about anti-Trump Republicans who feel beleaguered but also say that in secret many Republicans wish that Trump would go away.
Even McConnell and Trump are quarreling. 'Doesn't Have a Clue': Trump Calls on Mitch McConnell to Resign as Senate Minority Leader
Thus, there's a possibility that the GOP can be splintered.
The Jan 6 committee may find a smoking gun that will doom Trump. The Attorney General of New York's investigation of Trump is progressing, leading Trump to sue to stop it.
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