The historian said the North Koreans detonated their first nuclear device in 2006----of about one-half kiloton equivalent (compared to the 20-kiloton bomb that leveled Hiroshima). Three years later, they detonated a 4- to 5-ton kiloton range bomb that could "certainly blast the hell out of a major city." While Cumings doubts the North Koreans have yet to miniaturize a bomb so that it can ride on one of their medium-range missiles, there is nothing stopping them from, say, putting such a device aboard a freighter and detonating it upon reaching its port of destination. Cummings noted the North Koreans are "very good at manufacturing missiles" and have medium-range missiles "that are among the best in the world outside of the American bailiwick." These are sold to Iran and Pakistan and, if fired from Korea, could reach all of Japan and the U.S. base on Okinawa, as well as all of South Korea. Any new war on the Korean peninsula, the historian says, "would be an absolute catastrophe" even though the general consensus is that the North Koreans have been unable yet to miniaturize a nuclear warhead.
Getting back to the Korean War, historian Cummings believes that all parties to the war bear some responsibility for its outbreak: "What they did was take an existing civil conflict that had been going on five years and take it to the level of a conventional war, and for that, they bear a lot of responsibility." Both sides initiated pitched border battles from 1947 onward and the general in charge of the U.S. advisory group said "the South Koreans started more than half of these pitched battles along the 38 th parallel border with North Korea between May and December of 1949," Cumings discovered. "Hundreds of soldiers were dying on both sides and in August there nearly was a Korean War, a year before the one we know...(as the North Koreans pushed) down to the Ongjin Peninsula in the Yellow Sea south of the 38 th Parallel" (but which is not contiguous to the rest of South Korea.)
Both the North's Kim Il-sung and the South's Syngman Rhee wanted to fight all-out at the time but were restrained by their American and Soviet advisers, respectively. The following year, after his troops came back from China, Kim Il-sung stationed his crack Sixth Division just north of Seoul and when hostilities broke out captured the South Korean capital in just three days. "Our intelligence knew about these (troops) but...completely underestimated them," Cumings said, "and a lot of Americans got killed because they underestimated them." The South did not develop the kind of military that the North Koreans did, and this is one of the truly hidden aspects of the Korean War. ...The North Koreans had tens of thousands (50,000)of fighters in the Chinese Civil War they sent across the border as early as Spring of 1947," Cumings said. This gave the North Koreans a cadre of battle-tested fighters that routed the Seoul government's troops.
Because of the troops North Korea furnished the Chinese Communists, deep ties were forged between the two countries. "China was a kind of reliable rear area for training and for cementing a very close relationship," Cumings said. "Our people in Washington (didn't) begin to understand this....There (were) a lot of hard-liners in the Chinese military that really liked North Korea." Nor did U.S. intelligence apparently take into account how repressive U.S. actions in South Korea might make its citizens unwilling to fight all-out for a U.S.-backed government run by strongman Rhee. American military officials in South Korea in the late Forties "were outlawing left-wing parties, knocking over left-wing people's committees and things like this, for two years" own their own initiative, Cumings said. But the development of the containment doctrine and the start of the Cold War in 1947 put the official U.S. imprimatur on their ad hoc policies.
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