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OpEdNews Op Eds    H2'ed 11/1/10

Straight scoop on tons of races up for grabs in Tuesday election

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- Hawaii: Leaning towards the Democrat in the gubernatorial race (Abercrombie vs. Aiona); Hawaii is so troubled in its election management that one might see surprises. They tried the Internet, they said they couldn't afford their own elections, their state elections director was booted out; with election administration this bad who knows what to expect.

- Idaho: 1st District for US House is on thin ice. Minnick vs. Labrador, no one knows who's gonna win this one.

- Indiana: US Senate race (Coats/Ellsworth) close but may favor Republican win; US House disticts both the 2nd and the 9th are toss-ups (Donnelly/Walorski and Hill/Young, respectively).

- Iowa: Nothing super-close, but the Democrat has a battle on his hands to overtake the Republican for governor (Culver vs. Branstad) and in Iowa's 1st and 2nd House districts, the Republicans are trailing by a bit (Braley/Lange and Loebsack/Meeks, respectively)

- Kansas: Politically, no race seems to be close, but in terms of complete concealment of election processes, Kansas is now in a close race with Utah for the crown of "worst place to vote in America." Both states are so allergic to public right to know that even the candidates will have a tough time learning anything about their own election. Not a close election? Trust us, you got clobbered. But you are forbidden to verify this.

- Kentucky: US Senate Republican Rand Paul has been projected ahead of Democrat Jack Conway by anywhere from 10 to 20 percent, which one would think would take this race out of the questionable category, but the Rose Report has it at just a bit of a lean to the Republican. It's controversial, Rand Paul is not the annointed pick from the Washington DC Beltway elite, but popular among a vast following. This is definitely one to watch. The Kentucky 6th District US House race (Chandler/Barr) is said to be up in the air right now.

- Louisiana has just one close race according to the pundits - 2nd House district, Cedric Richmand vs. Joseph Cao. But anything can happen in Louisiana, where a stack of $20 bills in a manila envelope can create a reversal of political fortune in a hurry. Just ask their former state Elections Director. (I think he's shed his ankle bracelets by now.)

- Maryland: 1st District is a toss-up for the US House (Kratovil vs Harris)

- Massachusetts: The governor's race is tight. Patrick and Baker are fighting it out, as are Keating and Perry in the 10th US House district.

- Michigan has a mighty-tighty in House District 7 (Schauer against Walberg). Maybe few close looks at the governor's race (Bernero vs. Snyder, looking kinda strong for the Republican) and its 1st House district (McDowell vs Benishek, currently leaning Republican) and also the 9th District (Peters vs. Raczkowski, leaning Democrat).

- Mississippi: The House 1st and 4th are in play. Childers vs Nunnalee, too close to call. Taylor vs. Palazzo, too close to call.

- Missouri: Roy Blunt (R) said to be tipping the scales against Robin Carnahan for the US Senate. It's the opposite in Missouri's 3rd US House District, where Russ Carnahan, Democrat, is hinting at a win over Ed Martin. And Missouri's 4th District (Skelton/Hartzler) is anyone's guess right now.

- New Hampshire: US Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte has a slight lead over Democrat Paul Hodes; Democrat Lynch has a small projected lead over Republican Stephen for the governor's office; Shea-Porter (D) looks to be losing her luster in the 1st district, with the scales tipping slightly to Frank Guinta; and Ann McClane Custer has a toss-up on her hands in the 2nd district in her race against Charlie Bass.

- New Jersey: Third House district is in play. John Adler vs. Jon Runyan. And New Jersey, the home of the absentee felons, responded by loosening up controls on absentees, so this one may bear watching as the votes continue to roll in.

- New Mexico: Currently two US House districts are seriously in play - 1st District (Heinrich vs Barela), and 2nd District (Teague vs. Pearce). The governor's mansion looks like it may go Republican in the Denish vs Martinez race, but no chickens should be counted yet.

- North Carolina: For the US Senate, pundits are betting on Burr (R) over Marshall (D) for the US Senate, but it's still tight. US House Districts: 2nd leaning to Etheridge (D) over Ellmers (R) but not a done deal yet; in the 7th, McIntyre (D) has a slight edge over Pantano (R); there's a flat-out battle waging between Kissell and Johnson in the 8th, and in the Shuler/Miller race in the 11th, they say it's a lean towards Dem.

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Bev Harris is executive director of Black Box Voting, Inc. an advocacy group committed to restoring citizen oversight to elections.
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