- Maine: A poll conducted by Critical Insights indicated that races for both of Maine's congressional districts are now in a statistical dead heat. It also shows Republican Paul LePage with a solid lead in the governor's race. The poll, commissioned by MaineToday Media shows Republican Dean Scontras leading Democratic Rep. Chellie Pingree for the first time, with 45 percent compared to 41 percent in their 1st District congressional race. In the 2nd District, Democratic Rep. Mike Michaud (Mish-OH') had 44 percent to Jason Levesque's 40 percent.
A note from BBV - Something to watch in Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire and Massachusetts is the trend difference between hand count and machine count locations. All of these states have a large number of hand count jurisdictions, and all have their voting machines controlled by the LHS Associates, a private contractor. Hand count results differed from machine count results in several recent elections.
The Rose Report has the Maine governor's race rated a toss-up, as well as Maine's first district.
In the For-What-It's-Worth department, surveys conducted by Pulse Opinion Research for Fox News show Republican Sharron Angle leading Harry Reid in Nevada.
- Fox News has Colorado Republican Ken Buck closing strong in his bid to unseat Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet.
- In Illinois, Fox News reports that Rep. Mark Kirk doubled his 2-point lead and now leads Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias 46 percent to 42 percent. In the Illinois gubernatorial election, Republican state Sen. Bill Brady is said to Brady leads Pat Quinn by 6 points, 44 percent to 38 percent.
- In Washington State, Fox has Republican Dino Rossi trailing Democrat Patty Murray by 2 percent for the US Senate.
- And in Ohio, according to the poll for Fox News, Democratic Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland has been unable to close the gap between him and his Republican challenger, former Rep. John Kasich.
Now let's compare prognostications for Fox News with the Rose Report: It lists Nevada's Reid/Angle race as a toss-up; agrees that Colorado's Buck/Bennet is a toss-up; and adds that Colorado's 3rd US House district (Salazar vs. Tipton) is up for grabs, with 3rd (Markey vs. Gardner) and 7th districts (Perlmutter vs Frazier) close. The Rose Report also rates Illinois' Kirk/Giannoulias race a toss-up, and its Quinn/Brady Governor's race anyone's guess. It considers the Rossi/Murray race a toss-up and adds Washington US House district 2 (Larsen vs. Koster) a toss-up, with a nod towards a Republican lean in Washington's 3rd District (Heck/Herrera). Yes, it agrees that Ohio's governor race is up for grabs, and adds Ohio's sixth district as a toss-up (Wilson vs Johnson).
I didn't get to your state yet?
From various sources, here are the races to watch according to pollsters (and as we all know, the pollsters are often out of whack with the voting machines)...
- Alabama: US House 2nd District between Bobby Bright and Martha Roby is anyone's to win. Too close to call.
- Arizona House races are hopping around like popcorn: The 5th (Mitchell vs Schweikert), 7th (Grijalva vs. McClung) and 8th (Giffords vs Kelly) are all too close to call. And don't rule out a change of fortune in the 1st and 3rd (Kirkpatrick vs Gosar and Hulburd vs. Quayle, respectively). Republicans have a slight advantage in these two districts, but nothing is locked in.
- Arkansas: Lincoln/Boozman US Senate race a little tight, leaning Republican; 1st US House District Causey/Crawford rated a toss-up.
- Florida: Three-way US Senate race (Crist/Rubio/Meek) with a slight edge to the Republican but anything could happen; Governor's race (Sink vs. Scott) up in the air; US House 2nd (Boyd/Southerland) slight lean hinting at Republican win, 12th (Edwards/Ross) meandering towards the red as well, 22nd (Klein/West) grab your lugnuts, boys, could be a rocky ride; 24th (Kosmas/Adams) whispering "Republican", and 25th (Garcia/Rivera) also trending toward the elephants.
- Georgia: US House 2nd district rated a toss-up between Sanford Bishop and Mike Keown.
A note from BBV - Something to watch in Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire and Massachusetts is the trend difference between hand count and machine count locations. All of these states have a large number of hand count jurisdictions, and all have their voting machines controlled by the LHS Associates, a private contractor. Hand count results differed from machine count results in several recent elections.
The Rose Report has the Maine governor's race rated a toss-up, as well as Maine's first district.
In the For-What-It's-Worth department, surveys conducted by Pulse Opinion Research for Fox News show Republican Sharron Angle leading Harry Reid in Nevada.
- In Illinois, Fox News reports that Rep. Mark Kirk doubled his 2-point lead and now leads Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias 46 percent to 42 percent. In the Illinois gubernatorial election, Republican state Sen. Bill Brady is said to Brady leads Pat Quinn by 6 points, 44 percent to 38 percent.
- In Washington State, Fox has Republican Dino Rossi trailing Democrat Patty Murray by 2 percent for the US Senate.
- And in Ohio, according to the poll for Fox News, Democratic Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland has been unable to close the gap between him and his Republican challenger, former Rep. John Kasich.
Now let's compare prognostications for Fox News with the Rose Report: It lists Nevada's Reid/Angle race as a toss-up; agrees that Colorado's Buck/Bennet is a toss-up; and adds that Colorado's 3rd US House district (Salazar vs. Tipton) is up for grabs, with 3rd (Markey vs. Gardner) and 7th districts (Perlmutter vs Frazier) close. The Rose Report also rates Illinois' Kirk/Giannoulias race a toss-up, and its Quinn/Brady Governor's race anyone's guess. It considers the Rossi/Murray race a toss-up and adds Washington US House district 2 (Larsen vs. Koster) a toss-up, with a nod towards a Republican lean in Washington's 3rd District (Heck/Herrera). Yes, it agrees that Ohio's governor race is up for grabs, and adds Ohio's sixth district as a toss-up (Wilson vs Johnson).
I didn't get to your state yet?
From various sources, here are the races to watch according to pollsters (and as we all know, the pollsters are often out of whack with the voting machines)...
- Alabama: US House 2nd District between Bobby Bright and Martha Roby is anyone's to win. Too close to call.
- Arizona House races are hopping around like popcorn: The 5th (Mitchell vs Schweikert), 7th (Grijalva vs. McClung) and 8th (Giffords vs Kelly) are all too close to call. And don't rule out a change of fortune in the 1st and 3rd (Kirkpatrick vs Gosar and Hulburd vs. Quayle, respectively). Republicans have a slight advantage in these two districts, but nothing is locked in.
- Arkansas: Lincoln/Boozman US Senate race a little tight, leaning Republican; 1st US House District Causey/Crawford rated a toss-up.
- Florida: Three-way US Senate race (Crist/Rubio/Meek) with a slight edge to the Republican but anything could happen; Governor's race (Sink vs. Scott) up in the air; US House 2nd (Boyd/Southerland) slight lean hinting at Republican win, 12th (Edwards/Ross) meandering towards the red as well, 22nd (Klein/West) grab your lugnuts, boys, could be a rocky ride; 24th (Kosmas/Adams) whispering "Republican", and 25th (Garcia/Rivera) also trending toward the elephants.
- Georgia: US House 2nd district rated a toss-up between Sanford Bishop and Mike Keown.
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