Late Votes and the True Vote Model indicate that Obama may have won by 16 million votes

NE 37.8 50.5 22

NM 52.9 60.4 13

NV 52.3 69.4 3.4

OR 53.4 58.3 311 (100% hand-delivered or mail-in paper ballots)

SC 43.9 47.4 111

TX 41.4 44.5 45

VA 50.6 64.7 160

WA 55.2 57.6 1188

 

Obama's Election Day share was higher than his Late share in

NJ 58.6 55.1 146

NY 60.4 52.9 22

PA 52.5 34.9 185

 

In Ohio, Obama's share of 50,000 late votes declined from 50.3% on Election Day to 32.3%. Romney's share also declined from 48.2% to 39.2%. Other third parties gained from 1.7% to 28.5%.  In North Carolina, the Election Day recorded vote has declined by 4,000.

 

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