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OpEdNews Op Eds    H4'ed 4/9/20

Covid19 Death Figures "A Substantial Over-Estimate"

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Kit Knightly
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By enacting this legislation the UK government has not only made false reporting of Covid19 deaths more likely, they actively removed the safeguards designed to correct it. Recording accurate fatality numbers in this situation is borderline impossible.

This is, at best, totally irresponsible and at worst incredibly sinister.

Now, before you roll your eyes at the whacky alternate media and their crazy paranoia, the idea deaths are being over-estimated is not a fringe concept or a "conspiracy theory". It is actually addressed in the mainstream frequently, people just seem to not hear it, drowned out as it is by the fear-inducing headlines.

Dr John Lee, a professor of pathology and retired consulting pathologist with the NHS, wrote in a column for the Spectator:

"WHY COVID-19 DEATHS ARE A SUBSTANTIAL OVER-ESTIMATE Many UK health spokespersons have been careful to repeatedly say that the numbers quoted in the UK indicate death with the virus, not death due to the virus this matters..."

"This nuance is crucial ???? not just in understanding the disease, but for understanding the burden it might place on the health service in coming days. Unfortunately, nuance tends to be lost in the numbers quoted from the database being used to track Covid-19..."

"This data is not standardised and so probably not comparable, yet this important caveat is seldom expressed by the (many) graphs we see. It risks exaggerating the quality of data that we have..."

In fact, Dr Lee goes out of his way to emphasise:

"The distinction between dying 'with' Covid-19 and dying 'due to' Covid-19 is not just splitting hairs."

The BBC dealt with the same issue in an article on April 1st [again, emphasis ours]:

"The death figures being reported daily are hospital cases where a person dies with the coronavirus infection in their body because it is a notifiable disease cases have to be reported."

But what the figures do not tell us is to what extent the virus is causing the death. It could be the major cause, a contributory factor or simply present when they are dying of something else.

These absurd rules contributed to this recent example, referenced in the BBC article, but not widely reported at the time:

"An 18-year-old in Coventry tested positive for coronavirus the day before he died and was reported as its youngest victim at the time. But the hospital subsequently released a statement saying his death had been due to a separate "significant" health condition and not connected to the virus."

This story is completely true. The boy was widely reported as the UK's "youngest coronavirus victim" on March 24th, before the hospital issued a statement saying:

The hospital] had tested for COVID-19 on the day before he died, but this was not linked to his reason for dying.

Despite the hospital correcting the press, the case was still being reported in the tabloids a week later on March 31st.

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[Republished from Off-Guardian] 

Kit Knightly is co-editor of OffGuardian. The Guardian banned him from commenting. Twice. He used to write for fun, but now he's forced to out of a near-permanent sense of outrage.


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