This tweet describes exactly the situation vaccine passports are creating. Except it's not just in the bar, it's in the workplace, the classroom, every social space. There is no justification for it. It is, in fact, extremely dangerous, scientifically and politically, to think there is.
Heard the joke about the three guys that went into the bar?
MikeUnleashed ÃdegreesŸÅ' ¹ (@CaccioppoliMike) August 14, 2021
The first guy was unvaxxed but covid free and wasn't allowed in.
The second guy had natural immunity and was turned away.
The third guy was vaxxed and was allowed in but he had covid and spread it to everyone else.
Really, what is there, except an unscientific, illogical impulse: "Vaccine. Must take it." and/or "The CDC says so. Must comply." As Fauci directed: "Do what you're told."
Lesser Evil
In addition to the infectiousness of the vaccinated, which itself annuls the supposedly-scientific rationale for vaccine passports and mandates, there are other issues of efficacy, safety, and political ethics that make declining the vaccination a perfectly reasonable choice.
First of all, it's not apocalyptic. It's really not. Estimates vary, but Covid is a disease with an Infection-Fatality Rate (IFR) well below 1% for anyone under 65 years of age and under 0.5% overall in most calculations. The CDC's "best estimate" is broken down by age group is: 0-17 = .002%, 18-49 = .05%, 50-64 = 0.6%, 65+ = 9%. According to the WHO, "Across 51 locations, the median COVID-19 infection-fatality rate was 0.27% (corrected 0.23%)" In people 3
Here's the latest estimate from Stanford epidemiologist John Ioannidis's meta-analysis of 23 studies in 14 countries, broken down into smaller age groups, along with Stockholm University data:
As all these analyses show, Covid is certainly a significant danger to older people. According to the CDC, 56.8% of Covid deaths were in persons 75+, 29.7% were 85+, most with multiple co-morbidities. In children, on the other hand, at least one study shows that "COVID-19 disease has a milder clinical and laboratory course than Influenza", 1.8% vs.41.3% in intensive care, 1.2% vs. 34.8% requiring ventilation, and 1.2% vs. 15.2% morality. And the CDC confirms that, for children, Covid is less deadly than the flu.
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