Director of the Center for Applied Political Studies "Penta" Volodymyr Fesenko suggests that in the coming days, the situation will worsen sharply, although none of the parties requests the termination of the ceasefire. He said, "NG," that there are many forces that try to disrupt the elections - in the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, and the authorities of the unrecognized republics. "It is possible that there will be attempts to expand the territory of the LC and the DNI to the borders of Luhansk and Donetsk regions. The leaders of the breakaway republics should be prepared for attacks on Debalcevo, Mariupol, and, it is possible to Raisin Kharkiv region." Fesenko said that after a period of the next exacerbation followed by new peace talks, there will be temporary settlement and conditional silent mode. "But the conflict is not frozen by politicians, and in the winter, which is forecast to be expected severe, the intensity of military operations will decrease, but the zone of instability in the Donbass will continue for months, if not years."
Political analyst Konstantin Bondarenko confirmed that the truce will be forced - due to weather conditions - and will continue to heat. But the election may adversely affect the development of the situation in the near future: "The Ukrainian government does not recognize elections in the LC and the DNI. And those, in turn, said that the Donbass would not choose deputies to the supreme legislative body of Ukraine, therefore, for them to Ukrainian law does not apply. Such casuistry." "Nezavisimaya Gazeta"
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Levada Center: Social protest in Ukraine catalyzes around the image of the enemy - Russia
22.10.2014 10:27
The view that between Russia and Ukraine is a war divides 70% of Ukrainian citizens and 26% Russian, results of a parallel survey conducted in Russia and Ukraine together "Levada Center" and the Kiev International Institute of Sociology.
About Russia's support for pro-Russian forces in eastern Ukraine, respondents' opinions diverged less: this according to 50% of Russians and 74% of Ukrainians. In this case, responding to a question about whether they blame for the bloodshed Russia, 63% of Ukrainians reply favorably, while 27% do not recognize her guilt. In Russia, the relationship is reversed: 75% believe that the responsibility for the victims of the brotherly people of their country can not be held, and only 17% are willing to accept.
Radically different visions of the future and the self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Lugansk, in Russia 40% of respondents were in favor of independence (against 25% in March), and in Ukraine 77% of respondents believe the Donbass should remain part of Ukraine.
According to the deputy director of "Levada-Center" Alexei Grazhdankina, acute feelings of Ukrainians about the alleged involvement of Russia in the conflict in the South-East of Kiev derive from an attempt to find some external force, which could explain the negative consequences of their own government's policies.
The potential of social protest in Ukraine catalyzes around the image of the enemy in the face of Russia, emphasizes the sociologist, as issues related to the well-being of people, the economy, the prospects for how to spend the winter, are linked to the conflict. This view is supported by the fact that only 28% of Ukrainians believe that for the sake of peace in their country they need to accept any compromises. IA Regnum
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War will begin on Monday
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